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TELA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-16 → 2023-06-30

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 2019 🔗 www.telabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $43.4M 👥 Employees: 209
TELA Bio Inc a commercial-stage medical technology company focused on providing innovative soft-tissue reconstruction solutions that optimize clinical outcomes by prioritizing the preservation and restoration of the patient's anatomy. Its growing product portfolio is purposefully designed to leverage the patient's natural healing response while minimizing long-term exposure to permanent synthetic materials. The company's OviTex portfolio consists of multiple product configurations intended to address various surgical procedures within hernia repair and abdominal wall reconstruction, including ventral, inguinal, and hiatal hernia repair.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.84%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.11%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +0.11%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +0.16%
Worst: -0.94%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: -0.42%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.24%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: -0.20%
Worst: -2.87%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.80%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -4.69%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.65%
Best MFE: +2.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, TELA alerts reach +1.65% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.42%
Worst MAE: -1.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.16:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, TELA typically reaches +1.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +0.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How TELA compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TELA: -0.84% Sector: -0.34% -0.50%
EOD Gain
TELA: -1.80% Sector: +38960.46% -38962.27%
Avg MFE
TELA: +1.65% Sector: +8.67% -7.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TELA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-30 09:29:00 $10.0 -1.70% -0.80% -0.70% -0.20% +1.30% +2.70% -1.70% +0.30% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:27:00 $9.42 +0.11% +0.16% -0.42% -0.64% -2.02% +1.91% -1.17% -0.74% WIN
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $8.53 -0.94% -0.94% -1.76% -2.87% -4.69% +0.35% -1.41% -0.35% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TELA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.84% average gain, TELA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TELA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TELA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TELA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TELA historically offers an average upside of +1.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TELA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, TELA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TELA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TELA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.84%). This suggests TELA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.