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TFX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-05-23 → 2024-11-29

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.teleflex.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.57B 👥 Employees: 14,100
Teleflex is a Wayne, Pennsylvania-based manufacturer of hospital supplies and medical devices primarily in the bloodstream/vascular and surgical areas. The firm reports results across seven segments: vascular access (24% of 2024 sales), interventional (19%), anesthesia (13%), surgical (15%), interventional urology (11%), original-equipment manufacturing (11%), and other (7%). Geographic exposure for the business is primarily in the US, which accounts for 60% of revenue, with international markets making up the remainder.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.86%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +0.13%
Worst: -1.37%
Trades: 1/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: -0.12%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 0/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +0.07%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +0.07%
Worst: -2.46%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -2.26%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +0.65%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.33%
Best MFE: +0.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, TFX alerts reach +0.33% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.54%
Worst MAE: -0.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.6:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, TFX typically reaches +0.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +0.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How TFX compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TFX: -0.50% Sector: -0.34% -0.16%
EOD Gain
TFX: -1.08% Sector: +38960.46% -38961.55%
Avg MFE
TFX: +0.15% Sector: +8.67% -8.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TFX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-29 09:25:46 $192.56 -0.78% -0.25% +0.07% - +0.15% +0.45% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:47 $197.93 -0.01% -0.12% - -0.04% -1.20% +0.72% -0.29% +0.07% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:27:52 $202.08 +0.13% -0.47% -0.31% +0.56% +0.65% +0.88% -0.47% +0.33% WIN
2024-05-28 09:26:49 $206.35 -0.27% -0.48% -0.08% -0.80% -0.83% +0.12% -0.63% -0.27% LOSS
2024-05-23 09:28:16 $213.09 -1.37% -1.53% -2.46% -2.26% -3.07% -0.53% -0.53% -0.53% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TFX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.86% average gain, TFX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TFX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TFX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TFX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TFX historically offers an average upside of +0.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TFX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, TFX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TFX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TFX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.86%). This suggests TFX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.