Latest signal: October 28, 2024

TMCI Stock Analysis

Name: TMCI Trading Alert Analysis
Creator: FILTRIX

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-08 → 2024-10-28

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 23, 2021 🔗 www.treace.com

💰 Market Cap: $164.4M 👥 Employees: 477

Treace Medical Concepts Inc is a commercial-stage orthopaedic medical device company. It is focused on advancing the standard of care for the surgical management of bunion deformities. The company's patented Lapiplasty 3D Bunion Correction procedure is designed to reproducibly correct all planes of the bunion deformity and address the root cause of the bunion, while allowing patients to return to their active lives quickly. The Company operates and manages its business as one segment, which is the business of designing, manufacturing, and marketing medical devices for physicians, surgeons, ambulatory surgery centers and hospitals.

📊

Total Alerts

🎯

75.0%

Win Rate (30MIN)

💰

+1.62%

Avg Gain (30MIN)

🚀

+6.19%

Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: -0.69%

Avg Winner: +1.40%

Avg Loser: -2.78%

Best: +2.16%

Worst: -4.02%

Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%

Avg Gain: -1.36%

Avg Winner: +2.31%

Avg Loser: -6.37%

Best: +2.31%

Worst: -6.37%

Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%

Avg Gain: +1.62%

Avg Winner: +2.97%

Avg Loser: -2.42%

Best: +4.89%

Worst: -2.42%

Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%

Avg Gain: +2.32%

Avg Winner: +3.76%

Avg Loser: -1.98%

Best: +7.66%

Worst: -1.98%

Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: +0.31%

Avg Winner: +5.38%

Avg Loser: -4.76%

Best: +7.79%

Worst: -8.35%

Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.19%

Best MFE: +9.25%

Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, TMCI alerts reach +6.19% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.74%

Worst MAE: -4.38%

Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TMCI typically reaches +6.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4

Gap Up % 75.0%

Avg Gap +1.15%

Best Gap +3.40%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How TMCI compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain

TMCI: -1.13% Sector: -0.34% -0.79%

EOD Gain

TMCI: -0.58% Sector: +38960.46% -38961.04%

Avg MFE

TMCI: +5.62% Sector: +8.67% -3.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2024-10-28	09:25:15	$4.7	+0.64%	-	+4.89%	+7.66%	+2.98%	+7.87%	+0.64%	+3.40%	WIN
2024-05-09	09:26:44	$4.11	-4.02%	-	+0.49%	+2.67%	+7.79%	+9.25%	-4.38%	+1.46%	LOSS
2024-05-08	09:27:58	$4.55	-1.54%	-6.37%	-2.42%	-1.98%	-8.35%	+1.98%	-3.30%	-1.10%	LOSS
2023-02-08	09:28:00	$21.25	+2.16%	+2.31%	+3.53%	+0.94%	-1.18%	+5.65%	+0.09%	+0.85%	WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on TMCI

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TMCI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TMCI Strategy →

Why Analyze TMCI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMCI historically offers an average upside of +6.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMCI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TMCI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TMCI performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.62%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.