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TNDM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-03 → 2024-10-30

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 14, 2013 🔗 www.tandemdiabetes.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.35B 👥 Employees: 2,650
Tandem Diabetes designs, manufactures, and markets durable insulin pumps for individuals with diabetes. The firm first entered this market in 2012 and has since introduced multiple generations of pumps leading to its current t:slim X2 device. The firm recently launched its smaller Mobi pump and continues to work on Tobi (a tubeless version of Mobi), and the Sigi tubeless patch pump. Nearly three-quarters of total revenue is derived from the US, with the remainder primarily from other developed nations. The pumps themselves generate just over half of total sales, and another one-third is from disposable infusion sets that need to be changed over every 2 to 3 days.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 5/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -3.35%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +6.44%
Worst: -3.85%
Trades: 3/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -2.17%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.76%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: -7.86%
Trades: 2/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.26%
Best MFE: +9.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 60 min

On average, TNDM alerts reach +3.26% profit potential within 60 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.16%
Worst MAE: -4.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.51:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, TNDM typically reaches +3.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap +0.31%
Best Gap +5.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How TNDM compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TNDM: +0.19% Sector: -0.34% +0.53%
EOD Gain
TNDM: -2.76% Sector: +38960.46% -38963.22%
Avg MFE
TNDM: +3.26% Sector: +8.67% -5.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TNDM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-30 09:29:32 $32.57 +1.04% +0.74% -0.09% +0.08% -0.64% +1.29% -1.26% -0.21% WIN
2024-10-02 09:27:18 $40.17 +3.88% +1.92% +3.63% +3.65% +2.49% +5.53% +2.36% +5.53% WIN
2024-08-07 09:27:34 $40.2 -2.86% +0.58% +0.07% -2.40% -7.86% +1.65% -4.98% -2.64% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:27:19 $27.0 +1.54% -0.74% -3.48% -1.63% +0.26% +2.61% -4.52% - WIN
2023-11-02 09:25:00 $15.75 +0.60% +2.98% +6.44% -1.05% -3.49% +9.14% - - WIN
2023-10-25 09:29:00 $19.08 -3.09% -3.35% -3.85% -4.98% -3.14% -1.21% -2.99% -1.78% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $39.5 +0.22% +0.22% -3.65% -0.78% -6.91% +3.80% -3.77% +1.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on TNDM

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TNDM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TNDM Strategy →

Why Analyze TNDM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TNDM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TNDM historically offers an average upside of +3.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TNDM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, TNDM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TNDM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.