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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TSEM

Trade-Ideas alert history 26 alerts 2022-02-152023-11-15

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 26 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tower Semiconductor Ltd
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 25, 1994 🔗 www.towersemi.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.82B 👥 Employees: 5,316
Tower Semiconductor Ltd is a pure-play specialty foundry that manufactures semiconductors. As a pure-play foundry, it focuses on producing integrated circuits (ICs) based on the design specifications of customers. The company's line of integrated circuits is incorporated into markets, including consumer electronics, personal computers, communications, automotive, and industrial and medical device products. It produces ICs alongside wholly-owned subsidiaries through fabrication facilities located in Japan. The company has a geographical presence in the USA, Japan, Asia (other than Japan), and Europe.
Total alerts
26
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
53.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.21%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.57%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TSEM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -1.88%
Trades: 12/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +3.20%
Worst: -2.67%
Trades: 14/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +2.80%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 13/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +6.31%
Worst: -4.20%
Trades: 13/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +11.61%
Worst: -5.19%
Trades: 12/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.57%
Best MFE: +12.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, TSEM alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.71%
Worst MAE: -3.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, TSEM typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 26
Gap Up % 26.9%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +0.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSEM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $26.99 +1.00% +1.15% +1.24% +2.02% +0.74% +2.62% +0.04% +0.04% WIN
2023-11-13 09:25:00 $22.83 +1.62% -0.79% +1.82% +6.31% +11.61% +12.35% -2.32% -0.57% WIN
2023-10-23 09:25:00 $22.87 -1.88% -2.54% -1.14% +0.09% -0.92% +0.26% -3.24% -1.66% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:29:00 $23.6 -1.48% -2.63% -2.16% -2.84% -3.01% +0.64% -0.55% -0.53% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:25:00 $30.6 -0.56% +1.00% -0.87% -2.25% -3.82% +1.23% -0.85% -0.33% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:29:00 $30.28 -0.09% +0.20% +0.07% -0.36% +0.66% +2.71% -1.19% -0.07% LOSS
2023-08-16 09:27:00 $30.02 +1.10% +3.20% +2.80% +3.23% +0.50% +4.36% -0.53% -0.17% WIN
2023-08-15 09:27:00 $32.89 +0.12% +0.96% +1.28% +1.75% +2.71% +3.22% -0.73% -0.12% WIN
2023-08-14 09:27:00 $34.51 -1.01% -1.19% -2.41% -3.35% -1.65% -0.35% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS
2023-07-26 09:25:00 $38.75 -1.42% -1.52% -2.36% -4.03% -5.19% +0.65% -2.71% - LOSS
2023-05-30 09:27:00 $39.9 -0.65% +0.18% +0.25% -0.50% +0.18% +1.42% -0.88% -0.23% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:25:00 $39.76 -1.66% -2.67% -4.95% -4.20% -4.88% +0.03% -0.03% -0.28% LOSS
2023-05-22 09:28:00 $41.32 +0.12% +0.94% +0.36% -0.56% -1.60% +0.94% -0.15% -0.05% WIN
2023-05-17 09:27:00 $40.84 -0.64% -1.69% -1.64% -1.18% -0.81% +0.05% - -0.29% LOSS
2023-03-22 09:28:00 $41.29 +0.05% -0.44% -0.36% -0.12% -0.53% +0.22% -0.78% -0.10% WIN
2022-11-14 09:25:00 $42.65 -0.35% -0.79% -1.06% -0.70% -0.80% +0.47% -0.12% -0.02% LOSS
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $48.7 -0.02% -0.38% -0.17% +0.04% -0.90% +0.84% -1.05% -0.08% LOSS
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $46.98 +0.02% -0.33% -0.34% -0.30% -0.17% +0.49% -0.15% +0.23% WIN
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $48.0 -0.23% +0.19% +0.38% +0.62% +0.79% +0.92% -0.42% -0.19% LOSS
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $46.65 +0.21% -0.01% +0.09% +0.13% +0.75% +1.07% -0.09% -0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TSEM Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.8% win rate, TSEM has -0.21% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making TSEM profitable.

🔧 Fix TSEM Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze TSEM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSEM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSEM historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSEM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, TSEM shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.25%) outweigh average wins (+0.68%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TSEM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.21%). This suggests TSEM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.