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WST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-27 → 2024-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.westpharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.03B 👥 Employees: 10,600
West Pharmaceutical Services is based in Pennsylvania and is a key supplier to firms in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and generic drug industries. West sells elastomer-based packaging components (including stoppers, seals, and plungers), nonglass containment solutions, and auto-injectors for injectable drugs, which include large-molecule biologics, peptides such as GLP-1 receptor agonists, and small-molecule drugs. The company reports in two segments: proprietary products (about 80% of total revenue) and contract-manufactured products (about 20% of total revenue). It generates approximately 55% of its revenue from international markets and 45% from the United States.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.32%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -4.63%
Trades: 2/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.97%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +1.71%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 2/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +2.57%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 5/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -2.82%
Best: +3.82%
Worst: -3.79%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -1.07%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -5.17%
Best: +5.16%
Worst: -6.68%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.85%
Best MFE: +5.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 205 min

On average, WST alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 205 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.04%
Worst MAE: -4.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 29 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.82:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, WST typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.72%
Best Gap +2.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How WST compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WST: -1.22% Sector: -0.34% -0.88%
EOD Gain
WST: -1.51% Sector: +38960.46% -38961.98%
Avg MFE
WST: +0.63% Sector: +8.67% -8.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-15 09:28:34 $337.0 -1.81% -1.04% -1.51% -2.08% -6.68% +0.33% +0.33% +0.26% LOSS
2023-11-27 09:25:00 $353.26 -0.32% -0.42% -0.11% +0.27% +0.18% +0.56% -0.60% -0.32% LOSS
2023-08-14 09:28:00 $394.74 -0.13% -0.03% +0.35% +0.42% +1.30% +1.35% -0.35% +0.01% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:26:00 $380.0 -3.21% -3.96% -3.93% -3.79% -3.15% -3.08% -4.47% -3.71% LOSS
2023-07-18 09:25:00 $375.33 +2.43% - +1.67% +2.16% +2.47% +2.66% +1.00% +2.24% WIN
2022-10-28 09:25:00 $221.26 -0.66% -0.42% +1.33% +1.69% +1.92% +2.68% -1.34% -1.34% LOSS
2022-09-26 09:25:00 $265.5 -4.63% -3.94% -3.38% -2.87% -4.77% -2.81% -4.63% -4.63% LOSS
2022-07-12 09:25:00 $315.94 -0.05% +0.36% +0.14% -2.51% -6.07% +0.78% -0.35% -0.05% LOSS
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $305.46 +1.01% +1.71% +2.57% +3.82% +5.16% +5.21% +1.01% +1.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WST Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, WST has -0.32% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making WST profitable.

🔧 Fix WST Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze WST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WST historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, WST shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.23%) outweigh average wins (+1.21%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.32%). This suggests WST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.