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$VNCE seeking alpha Jun 16, 2026

$VNCE +36.83% — what the base rate says

The Boss FILTRIX Market Desk
$VNCE +36.83% — what the base rate says

Let's settle the tab first: yesterday we promised to grade $PAVS. It opened at 0.4736 and closed at 0.1899, a clean 60% collapse. That is the cost of chasing. Today, Vince Holding Corp ($VNCE) is surging 36% on Q1 earnings. Every retail analyst on your timeline is drawing breakout arrows. Here is the historical reality: out of 70 similar earnings gap-ups of 30% or more, the stock closes green just 37% of the time. The other 63%? It fades to red. Buying the open on these setups is statistically picking a fight with a loaded deck. Trading earnings without a historical baseline is just roulette with a longer loading screen.

What the data showed

  • $VNCE +36.83% Vince Holding Corp. · closed red 63% · green 37% (n=70) mcap $62M · float 4M shares · sector: RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES
  • $AHMA +31.09% Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C · closed red 70% · green 29% (n=2,411) mcap $37M · float 4M shares
  • $RRGB +20.12% Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=4,898) mcap $94M · float 15M shares · sector: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
  • $LION +13.81% Lionsgate Studios Corp. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=11,458) mcap $4.2B · float 37M shares · sector: SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION
  • $SLP +11.55% Simulations Plus, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=11,458) mcap $330M · float 17M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
  • $EOSE +10.82% Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=11,458) mcap $2.1B · float 332M shares · sector: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
  • $OSS +9.87% One Stop Systems, Inc. mcap $412M · float 20M shares · sector: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
  • $AKTS +9.86% Aktis Oncology, Inc. mcap $1.2B · float 28M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $SPCX +8.94% Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
  • $MRNA +8.67% Moderna, Inc. mcap $19.8B · float 363M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $GIL -18.35% Gildan Activewear Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $10.7B · float 168M shares
  • $RFIL -12.94% RF Industries, Ltd. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=4,138) mcap $203M · float 9M shares · sector: ELECTRONIC CONNECTORS
  • $UCO -6.89% ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF sector: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
  • $AMD -5.50% Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. mcap $834.2B · float 1.6B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $USO -5.39% United States Oil Fund LP ETF float 16M shares · sector: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
  • $RIVN -5.16% Rivian Automotive, Inc. mcap $22.5B · float 756M shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
  • $PLAY -5.07% Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. mcap $449M · float 34M shares · sector: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
  • $SNDK -4.52% Sandisk Corporation mcap $293.2B · float 146M shares · sector: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
  • $SNAP -4.44% Snap Inc. mcap $8.7B · float 1.1B shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $NFLX -4.18% Netflix, Inc. mcap $338.3B · float 4.2B shares · sector: SERVICES-VIDEO TAPE RENTAL

Stop trading on hope and start testing your ideas. Analyze historical base rates on FILTRIX.net before you put capital on the line. Discipline > FOMO

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