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USO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 566 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 25, 2008
📊
566
Total Alerts
🎯
49.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +0.65%
Worst: -0.68%
Trades: 270/285

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -1.31%
Trades: 267/294

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +3.91%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 280/280

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 268/292

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +5.02%
Worst: -5.62%
Trades: 277/287

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +6.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 144 min

On average, USO alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 144 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.46%
Worst MAE: -3.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.46%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 566 alerts, USO typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 566
Gap Up % 44.7%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How USO compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
USO: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
USO: -0.08% Sector: +257.70% -257.78%
Avg MFE
USO: +1.15% Sector: +1.89% -0.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:46 $76.61 +0.01% +0.07% +0.12% -0.74% -1.03% +0.17% -0.08% -0.04% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:29 $76.94 +0.06% -0.03% +0.01% -0.36% +0.60% +0.73% -0.43% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:24 $76.2 -0.03% -0.08% -0.09% -0.14% -0.45% +0.12% -0.21% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:02 $76.69 +0.05% +0.04% +0.30% -0.19% -0.78% +0.40% -0.21% -0.16% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:41 $75.68 +0.07% +1.65% +2.55% +3.29% +2.42% +3.46% -0.11% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:30 $78.59 +0.17% +0.13% -0.74% -1.64% -0.98% +0.23% -0.43% -0.22% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:14 $79.17 +0.18% +0.24% +0.35% -0.08% -1.57% +0.47% +0.08% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:21 $80.59 +0.01% +0.01% +0.31% +0.43% +0.65% +0.93% -0.06% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-16 09:29:45 $83.52 -0.25% -0.05% -0.23% -0.73% -0.69% +0.10% -0.05% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:26 $81.86 +0.18% +0.02% -0.59% -0.43% -0.23% +0.27% -0.01% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-13 09:29:35 $81.49 +0.15% -0.07% +0.31% +0.53% +0.91% +1.63% -0.15% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:24 $81.42 +0.28% -0.39% -0.45% -0.74% -0.96% +0.49% +0.06% +0.15% WIN
2024-12-30 09:25:37 $74.88 - +0.04% +0.12% +0.03% -0.08% +0.52% -0.41% -0.03% -
2024-12-23 09:25:21 $72.92 +0.01% -0.10% -0.23% -0.62% +0.19% +0.21% -1.12% -0.01% WIN
2024-12-17 09:25:20 $73.07 -0.26% -0.57% -0.31% -0.77% +0.31% +0.38% -1.04% -0.15% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:19 $73.03 -0.15% -0.27% -0.41% -0.90% +0.25% +0.75% -1.15% -0.18% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:52 $71.23 +0.11% +0.28% +0.35% +0.94% -0.08% +1.04% -0.11% - WIN
2024-12-06 09:26:26 $70.61 -0.23% -0.41% -0.31% -0.76% -0.52% +0.14% -0.88% +0.01% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:25:01 $71.95 -0.02% +0.06% +0.22% -0.07% -0.67% +0.31% -0.24% - LOSS
2024-12-03 09:29:45 $72.2 -0.30% -0.25% -0.18% +0.42% +1.16% +1.55% -0.55% -0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 49.6% Baseline on USO

The 49.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push USO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize USO Strategy →

Why Analyze USO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USO historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.6%, USO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show USO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.