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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MRNA

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.2% at 5-min n=241 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 07, 2018 🔗 www.modernatx.com
💰 Market Cap: $94.42B 👥 Employees: 4,700
Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 25 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of March 2026. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.
Total alerts
241
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
55.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.21%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MRNA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable MRNA setups

Historical MRNA setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -6.38%
Trades: 133/108

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.9%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +9.71%
Worst: -8.40%
Trades: 130/111

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +14.79%
Worst: -6.94%
Trades: 118/123

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +3.31%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +32.85%
Worst: -10.24%
Trades: 117/124

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +4.06%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +46.51%
Worst: -11.26%
Trades: 125/115

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.21%
Best MFE: +48.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, MRNA alerts reach +4.21% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.45%
Worst MAE: -8.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.9:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.9x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 241 alerts, MRNA typically reaches +4.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 241
Gap Up % 49.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.71%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How MRNA compares to 144 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MRNA: +0.10% Sector: -0.29% +0.39%
EOD Gain
MRNA: +0.48% Sector: -0.12% +0.60%
Avg MFE
MRNA: +4.22% Sector: +6.58% -2.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRNA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $189.95 -1.17% +0.65% -1.00% -1.54% +0.03% +1.98% -1.75% +0.16% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $185.5 +4.31% +3.61% +5.91% +8.23% +1.85% +8.36% -0.27% +0.60% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $186.24 +1.14% +5.35% +3.53% +2.18% +3.40% +5.69% -0.89% +0.17% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $195.35 +1.73% +5.18% +2.44% +1.37% +4.15% +6.94% +0.09% +1.24% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $194.89 -0.18% -1.35% +0.03% -0.66% +1.23% +2.53% -2.97% +0.14% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $195.03 +0.87% +0.07% -0.46% -0.57% +1.97% +3.92% -1.29% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $180.05 +1.81% +2.92% +2.80% +3.80% +8.20% +8.70% -0.45% +0.31% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $182.78 +1.60% +1.28% +4.04% +3.49% -0.37% +5.21% -0.51% +0.34% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $167.87 +1.79% +2.25% +4.66% +7.43% +8.75% +11.51% -0.16% +0.37% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $161.02 -0.73% +1.16% +3.20% +4.55% +7.40% +9.84% -1.22% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $157.97 +0.41% -0.53% -1.34% -2.28% -2.49% +1.15% -0.70% +0.24% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $152.71 +0.10% +2.08% +2.67% +5.11% +3.51% +6.06% -2.10% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $144.25 -1.33% -1.44% -2.70% -2.96% +1.69% +2.14% -3.63% +0.47% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $134.38 -2.03% -0.85% +0.68% +0.50% +1.67% +2.05% -2.98% +0.36% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $154.65 -1.64% -6.54% -4.88% -5.97% -5.88% +0.25% -0.42% -0.67% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $145.59 +2.62% +0.18% +0.01% +0.31% +2.25% +3.17% -0.49% +0.24% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $137.24 -0.02% -0.31% +0.57% -1.75% +0.54% +1.13% -1.91% -0.04% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $154.86 -1.40% -3.61% -2.82% -4.24% -3.36% +0.82% -1.52% -0.43% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $144.88 +1.33% +2.58% +5.49% +6.16% +9.63% +11.38% -2.53% -0.95% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $142.6 -4.19% -5.53% -4.42% -8.59% -2.60% +2.03% -4.24% +0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 55.2% Baseline on MRNA

The 55.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MRNA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MRNA Strategy →

Why Analyze MRNA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRNA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRNA historically offers an average upside of +4.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRNA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.2%, MRNA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MRNA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.