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MRNA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 173 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MRNA alerts reach +3.82% profit potential within 104 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.47%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 173 alerts, MRNA typically reaches +3.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
How MRNA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MRNA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:46 | $30.81 | +3.96% | +6.13% | +5.00% | +4.67% | +7.08% | +10.06% | -5.06% | -0.91% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:21 | $30.98 | -0.55% | -1.84% | -1.05% | -1.39% | +3.03% | +3.16% | -2.29% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:30 | $31.07 | -1.48% | -0.43% | -0.77% | -1.09% | -1.72% | +0.03% | -1.99% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:34 | $31.53 | -0.17% | -1.21% | -1.49% | -0.16% | -1.90% | +2.82% | -1.01% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:25:05 | $33.02 | -0.12% | -0.22% | -1.02% | -2.63% | -3.48% | +1.13% | -0.70% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:28:30 | $33.49 | +0.43% | +0.22% | -0.44% | -0.22% | -2.66% | +0.84% | -0.75% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:59 | $35.44 | -2.55% | -1.72% | -1.30% | -2.31% | -5.16% | -0.14% | -0.31% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:28:12 | $34.44 | -0.52% | +1.45% | +0.52% | +2.09% | +1.57% | +3.28% | -1.56% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:51 | $38.24 | -0.08% | -0.97% | -2.07% | -2.07% | -4.42% | +1.07% | -0.74% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:26:48 | $41.37 | -1.04% | -1.57% | -2.26% | -1.87% | -0.80% | +2.83% | -3.60% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:26:47 | $43.74 | +0.85% | -0.78% | -1.60% | +1.87% | -6.90% | +2.29% | -2.58% | -1.05% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:45 | $40.32 | +2.93% | +2.72% | +4.99% | +8.38% | +3.30% | +9.33% | -0.02% | +1.36% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:25:24 | $43.12 | +2.42% | +4.13% | -0.09% | -1.99% | -3.97% | +5.29% | -0.05% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:27:17 | $39.29 | -0.74% | -1.67% | -4.49% | -3.35% | +7.89% | +8.27% | -5.85% | -2.27% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:25:06 | $36.82 | -0.54% | -0.11% | +6.52% | +6.30% | +4.56% | +11.60% | -2.23% | -1.28% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:59 | $35.88 | +1.57% | +4.54% | +2.75% | +1.31% | +0.03% | +5.63% | -0.98% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:25:16 | $33.89 | -0.08% | +1.73% | +1.91% | +0.86% | +0.50% | +2.66% | -0.86% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:25:04 | $34.83 | +0.79% | +0.99% | -0.73% | +0.56% | -0.17% | +2.04% | -1.06% | +1.00% | WIN |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:27:24 | $35.16 | -1.73% | -0.64% | -2.42% | -1.02% | -1.99% | +1.48% | -3.19% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:26:40 | $33.78 | +0.43% | -3.67% | -1.13% | -2.71% | +4.06% | +4.74% | -5.45% | -1.42% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 54.3% Baseline on MRNA
The 54.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MRNA's performance to 75%+.
Optimize MRNA Strategy →Why Analyze MRNA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRNA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRNA historically offers an average upside of +3.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MRNA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 54.3%, MRNA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MRNA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.