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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$UCO

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.1% at EOD n=647 2022-01-06 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 24, 2008
Total alerts
647
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
49.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-1.72%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.11%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading UCO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +2.97%
Worst: -1.58%
Trades: 307/324

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +4.73%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 313/328

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +6.54%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 316/327

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 316/327

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -1.72%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -5.45%
Best: +10.20%
Worst: -77.56%
Trades: 318/326

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.11%
Best MFE: +11.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, UCO alerts reach +2.11% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.84%
Worst MAE: -8.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 647 alerts, UCO typically reaches +2.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 647
Gap Up % 43.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How UCO compares to 57 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UCO: -0.02% Sector: -0.01% -0.01%
EOD Gain
UCO: -1.72% Sector: +163.64% -165.36%
Avg MFE
UCO: +2.11% Sector: +1.86% +0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $52.17 -0.02% +0.23% +1.19% -0.50% +4.33% +4.58% -1.15% +0.19% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $53.11 +0.14% +0.56% +0.77% +1.09% +2.88% +3.30% -0.21% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $53.79 +0.22% +0.24% -0.09% +0.43% -0.74% +0.91% -0.43% +0.26% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $51.88 +0.09% +0.23% +0.46% +0.82% +0.15% +2.45% -0.10% +0.13% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $53.16 +0.27% +0.15% -0.46% -0.47% -0.09% +1.43% -0.84% +0.40% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $52.17 +0.06% +0.12% +0.33% +0.75% -0.48% +1.88% -0.21% -0.02% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $52.9 -0.08% +0.36% +0.51% +1.02% +0.81% +3.34% -0.08% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $51.58 -0.25% +0.16% +0.72% +0.85% +1.12% +1.71% -0.45% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $50.37 +0.51% +0.64% +0.32% +1.05% +0.52% +2.84% -0.24% +0.34% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $51.84 +0.25% +0.08% +0.35% -0.64% -0.21% +0.52% -0.37% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $52.54 -0.03% +0.15% +0.33% +0.80% +0.98% +1.17% -0.39% -0.11% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $52.01 +0.04% +0.02% -0.15% +0.24% +0.46% +1.64% -0.40% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $53.33 -0.04% -0.34% -0.52% -1.09% -1.95% +0.13% -0.04% +0.11% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $53.11 +0.85% +0.90% +0.62% +0.89% +1.47% +2.50% +0.00% +0.47% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $52.56 -0.11% -0.17% +0.05% +0.27% -0.91% +0.49% -0.49% -0.06% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $50.73 -0.35% -0.06% +0.24% +0.69% +1.64% +1.72% -0.85% -0.36% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $51.62 -0.13% -0.81% -0.81% -1.53% +1.18% +2.58% -1.90% +0.06% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $49.78 +0.02% -0.06% -0.14% +0.36% +0.88% +1.04% -0.74% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $48.68 +0.27% +0.29% +0.25% +0.53% +1.38% +1.86% -0.68% +0.14% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $46.92 -0.12% -1.63% -2.10% -0.35% +0.80% +2.17% -2.25% +0.11% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ UCO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.1% win rate and -1.72% average gain, UCO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider UCO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze UCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UCO historically offers an average upside of +2.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, UCO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests UCO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UCO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.72%). This suggests UCO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.