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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AGNC

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.2% at EOD n=462 2022-01-24 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

AGNC Investment Corp. Common Stock REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 15, 2008 🔗 www.agnc.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.42B 👥 Employees: 54
AGNC Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities. The firm's asset portfolio is comprised of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or by a U.S. Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association. It also invests in other types of mortgage and mortgage-related residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities or other investments in or related to, the housing, mortgage, or real estate markets.
Total alerts
462
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
47.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.13%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.06%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AGNC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +3.28%
Worst: -2.71%
Trades: 175/267

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 205/250

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +5.41%
Worst: -5.21%
Trades: 192/258

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.5%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -6.92%
Trades: 205/248

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +10.41%
Worst: -7.63%
Trades: 218/230

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.06%
Best MFE: +11.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, AGNC alerts reach +1.06% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -4.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 462 alerts, AGNC typically reaches +1.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 462
Gap Up % 24.9%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How AGNC compares to 142 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGNC: -0.11% Sector: -0.14% +0.03%
EOD Gain
AGNC: -0.14% Sector: +193744.22% -193744.35%
Avg MFE
AGNC: +1.06% Sector: +2.32% -1.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $9.07 +0.28% -0.72% -1.16% -0.44% -3.09% +0.66% -0.11% -0.11% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $9.04 +0.06% -0.94% -1.27% -1.71% -0.99% +0.33% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $9.56 -0.54% +0.05% +1.10% +0.59% -1.04% +1.26% -1.04% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $9.92 -0.20% -0.30% -0.10% +0.91% +0.50% +1.11% -0.60% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $9.89 -0.17% +0.45% +0.51% +0.35% -0.25% +1.06% -0.51% +0.05% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $10.06 +0.05% -0.45% -0.60% -0.60% -1.49% +0.40% -0.20% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $10.06 +0.10% +1.09% +0.65% -0.13% +0.25% +1.34% -0.35% -0.05% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $10.29 -0.24% -0.09% -0.43% -0.77% -1.36% +0.44% -0.38% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $10.51 -0.86% -1.47% -1.52% -1.19% -3.04% +1.05% +0.10% +0.14% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $10.76 +0.44% +0.68% +0.63% +0.45% -0.71% +1.01% -0.16% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $10.62 -0.37% +0.27% -0.24% +0.47% +0.28% +1.04% -0.47% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $10.69 +0.33% +0.28% -0.33% -0.38% -0.28% +0.65% -0.19% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $10.62 +0.05% +0.71% +0.79% +1.08% -0.19% +1.13% +0.00% +0.28% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $10.76 -0.36% -0.33% -0.05% +0.51% -0.28% +0.73% -0.74% -0.19% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $10.97 +0.01% +0.02% +0.06% -0.35% -0.67% +0.24% -0.21% -0.21% WIN
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $10.83 +0.00% +0.05% +0.00% -0.05% +1.02% +1.20% -0.37% -0.09% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $11.01 -0.05% -0.45% -0.36% -0.86% -0.91% +0.18% -0.05% +0.05% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $11.0 +0.32% +0.64% +0.91% +1.14% +0.73% +1.18% -0.45% +0.00% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $10.91 +0.59% +0.28% +0.04% -0.05% +0.46% +0.73% -0.37% +0.46% WIN
2026-08-12 09:25:00 $10.93 +0.35% +0.71% +0.26% -0.02% -0.43% +0.85% -0.06% +0.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AGNC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.2% win rate and -0.13% average gain, AGNC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGNC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AGNC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGNC historically offers an average upside of +1.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AGNC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.2%, AGNC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGNC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AGNC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.13%). This suggests AGNC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.