Latest signal:
AGNC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 375 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AGNC alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 123 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 375 alerts, AGNC typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
How AGNC compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AGNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:49 | $10.34 | +0.48% | +0.58% | +0.59% | +0.97% | +0.87% | +1.06% | -0.10% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:47 | $10.08 | +0.01% | -0.05% | - | +0.40% | +0.99% | +1.09% | -0.30% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:29:18 | $10.16 | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.04% | +0.10% | +0.20% | +0.30% | -0.25% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:26:50 | $10.12 | +0.25% | +0.15% | +0.19% | -0.05% | +0.20% | +0.49% | -0.20% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:01 | $9.7 | +0.57% | +1.19% | +1.60% | +2.27% | +2.58% | +3.09% | -0.21% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:26:05 | $9.97 | -0.50% | +0.00% | +0.05% | +0.25% | - | +0.90% | -0.60% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:26:58 | $9.91 | +0.50% | +0.35% | +0.25% | +1.01% | +1.72% | +1.82% | -0.00% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:07 | $9.87 | +0.45% | +0.56% | +0.56% | +0.61% | -0.41% | +0.91% | - | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:18 | $9.7 | +0.98% | +1.08% | +0.98% | +0.77% | +1.75% | +1.91% | -0.00% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:33 | $9.67 | +0.24% | +1.40% | +1.09% | +1.24% | +1.24% | +1.76% | -0.16% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:49 | $9.65 | -0.05% | +0.16% | +0.05% | +0.00% | +0.31% | +0.83% | -0.21% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:26:51 | $9.71 | +0.15% | +0.05% | +0.15% | +0.20% | -0.72% | +0.31% | -0.10% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:30 | $9.73 | -0.31% | -0.36% | -0.36% | -0.05% | -0.21% | +0.41% | -0.62% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:27 | $9.67 | -0.16% | -0.13% | +0.36% | +0.19% | +0.62% | +0.62% | -0.41% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:29:27 | $9.58 | -0.05% | +0.39% | +0.52% | +0.62% | +0.31% | +0.73% | -0.21% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:28:15 | $9.38 | +0.79% | +0.75% | +0.53% | +0.85% | +1.81% | +1.92% | - | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:20 | $9.4 | +0.16% | -0.14% | -0.37% | -0.21% | -0.11% | +0.55% | -0.11% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-13 | 09:29:24 | $9.11 | -0.49% | -0.66% | -0.44% | -1.43% | +0.11% | +0.49% | -1.65% | +0.38% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:25:15 | $9.25 | -0.65% | -0.88% | -0.70% | -0.59% | -1.19% | +0.22% | -1.24% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:25:19 | $9.28 | -0.65% | -0.34% | -0.86% | -0.59% | +0.11% | +0.32% | -1.19% | -0.27% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AGNC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.0% win rate and -0.12% average gain, AGNC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGNC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AGNC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGNC historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AGNC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.0%, AGNC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGNC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AGNC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.12%). This suggests AGNC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.