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ALGN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 36 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-21 → 2024-11-26
⚠️ Small sample size (36 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ALGN alerts reach +1.97% profit potential within 127 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.20%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, ALGN typically reaches +1.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES
How ALGN compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ALGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-26 | 09:28:29 | $237.0 | -2.49% | -2.99% | -2.89% | -3.60% | -3.83% | +0.20% | -0.21% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:27:02 | $210.1 | +0.50% | -0.49% | -0.57% | -1.15% | -2.41% | +0.79% | +0.26% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:27:12 | $245.0 | -0.15% | +1.27% | +2.55% | +1.71% | +1.82% | +3.60% | -0.49% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-01 | 00:00:00 | $302.76 | - | - | - | - | -9.70% | +2.39% | -0.98% | +0.08% | - |
| 2023-12-29 | 09:27:00 | $275.02 | +0.68% | +0.72% | +0.57% | +0.40% | -0.37% | +1.08% | -0.74% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-12-19 | 09:25:00 | $263.2 | +0.71% | +0.10% | +0.46% | +1.74% | +1.94% | +2.70% | -0.21% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $217.0 | +0.04% | +0.68% | +1.38% | +0.69% | -0.24% | +2.14% | - | - | WIN |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:29:00 | $189.96 | -1.39% | -0.40% | -0.23% | -1.23% | +1.14% | +1.43% | -2.08% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:29:00 | $194.93 | -0.87% | -1.37% | -1.17% | -1.79% | -3.89% | +0.02% | -0.28% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:27:00 | $197.72 | +0.60% | -0.27% | +0.20% | +0.07% | -0.10% | +0.98% | +0.18% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-10-26 | 09:28:00 | $198.01 | -1.96% | -0.71% | +0.63% | -1.23% | -3.76% | +1.54% | -3.00% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-22 | 09:26:00 | $291.46 | -0.02% | +0.56% | +1.27% | +1.93% | +3.21% | +4.43% | -0.43% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-02 | 09:26:00 | $339.0 | +2.48% | +4.02% | +3.02% | +5.63% | +6.16% | +8.81% | -1.89% | -0.74% | WIN |
| 2023-01-17 | 09:27:00 | $239.0 | +0.79% | +0.09% | +1.14% | +1.32% | +2.95% | +3.11% | -0.47% | -0.09% | WIN |
| 2023-01-12 | 09:25:00 | $235.0 | -0.35% | -2.01% | -2.53% | +0.19% | +0.25% | +0.95% | -2.83% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-11 | 09:25:00 | $232.98 | +1.49% | +0.65% | +1.48% | +1.05% | +0.51% | +2.22% | +0.25% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2023-01-03 | 09:28:00 | $214.9 | +1.91% | +1.17% | -0.63% | -1.54% | -1.22% | +2.15% | -0.30% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2022-12-30 | 09:25:00 | $207.17 | +0.64% | +0.44% | +1.09% | +1.88% | +1.80% | +2.00% | -0.09% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2022-12-28 | 09:25:00 | $204.87 | -0.64% | +0.39% | +0.14% | +0.04% | -1.61% | +0.81% | -0.96% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-27 | 09:25:00 | $203.98 | -1.26% | -1.14% | -0.41% | +0.68% | +0.30% | +1.54% | -1.87% | -0.37% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ALGN Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.4% win rate, ALGN has -0.26% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ALGN profitable.
🔧 Fix ALGN Risk/Reward →Why Analyze ALGN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALGN historically offers an average upside of +1.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ALGN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.4%, ALGN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.41%) outweigh average wins (+0.82%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ALGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.26%). This suggests ALGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.