Latest signal:
NIO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NIO alerts reach +2.89% profit potential within 93 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.19%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.42x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, NIO typically reaches +2.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NIO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:25:50 | $4.37 | +1.03% | +1.03% | +3.07% | +1.58% | +1.60% | +4.12% | -0.69% | -0.46% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:57 | $4.17 | +1.84% | +2.01% | +2.46% | +1.44% | +2.16% | +2.88% | -0.24% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:26:54 | $4.09 | -0.12% | +0.73% | +0.12% | +0.86% | +2.93% | +3.18% | -1.10% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:47 | $4.22 | -1.18% | -0.83% | -0.95% | -2.13% | -4.27% | +0.24% | +0.23% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:59 | $4.31 | -0.58% | -1.39% | -1.39% | +0.46% | +0.46% | +0.93% | -1.62% | +0.23% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:29:40 | $4.29 | +0.12% | -0.23% | -0.85% | -1.28% | -1.17% | +0.93% | -0.23% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:11 | $4.25 | +0.24% | -0.47% | -0.47% | +0.35% | -1.18% | +1.18% | -1.41% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:27:50 | $4.28 | -0.95% | -0.93% | -0.73% | -1.40% | -1.87% | +0.19% | -1.17% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:20 | $4.36 | +1.38% | +1.61% | +2.18% | +1.61% | +0.69% | +3.21% | -0.45% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:28:50 | $4.18 | -0.21% | +1.17% | +0.42% | +1.32% | +2.39% | +4.90% | -1.66% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:28:04 | $4.45 | +0.22% | -1.35% | -0.90% | -1.91% | -2.92% | +1.12% | -2.25% | -0.45% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:01 | $4.27 | +0.23% | +1.17% | +0.47% | +1.70% | +3.98% | +4.68% | - | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:59 | $4.34 | -1.38% | -2.19% | -1.96% | -1.32% | -2.77% | +0.23% | -0.23% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:32 | $4.28 | -1.52% | -2.31% | -1.88% | -0.58% | +0.93% | +1.17% | -2.57% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:22 | $4.3 | +1.51% | +0.70% | +1.74% | +2.05% | -0.70% | +2.79% | - | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:25:43 | $4.19 | +0.38% | -0.72% | -0.72% | -0.12% | +2.39% | +3.82% | -1.19% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:28:43 | $4.24 | -1.06% | -1.53% | -1.42% | -1.71% | -2.59% | - | -0.24% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:27:08 | $4.17 | -0.21% | -0.36% | -0.72% | +0.49% | +2.64% | +4.56% | -0.96% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:25:40 | $4.34 | -0.35% | -2.05% | -1.61% | -3.00% | -3.69% | +0.92% | -0.23% | +0.23% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:44 | $4.22 | +0.59% | +0.48% | +2.59% | +2.82% | +3.32% | +4.74% | -0.71% | -0.24% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NIO Shows Negative Expectancy
With 44.8% win rate and -0.20% average gain, NIO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NIO for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NIO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NIO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NIO historically offers an average upside of +2.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NIO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 44.8%, NIO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NIO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NIO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.20%). This suggests NIO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.