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CDRE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-10 → 2024-04-10

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 04, 2021 🔗 www.cadre-holdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.77B 👥 Employees: 2,284
Cadre Holdings Inc is engaged in the design and manufacture of a diversified product portfolio of critical safety and survivability equipment to protect first responders, federal agencies, outdoor recreation, and personal protection markets. The Company's equipment provides critical protection to allow its users to safely and securely perform their duties and protect those around them in hazardous or life-threatening situations. Its operations are comprised of two reportable segments: Products and Distribution.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.44%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.72%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +0.14%
Worst: -4.67%
Trades: 1/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +0.20%
Worst: -2.86%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.97%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +0.14%
Worst: -5.73%
Trades: 1/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.06%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.06%
Best: -0.32%
Worst: -5.68%
Trades: 0/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.82%
Best MFE: +1.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 31 min

On average, CDRE alerts reach +0.82% profit potential within 31 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -3.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.25:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, CDRE typically reaches +0.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +0.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES

How CDRE compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CDRE: -0.44% Sector: -0.30% -0.14%
EOD Gain
CDRE: -3.06% Sector: +3169.91% -3172.98%
Avg MFE
CDRE: +0.82% Sector: +6.07% -5.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CDRE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-10 09:26:14 $33.9 -2.83% -1.74% -1.18% -0.66% -0.32% +1.47% -3.36% -1.18% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:26:17 $35.91 +0.86% -0.95% -1.50% -1.96% -5.60% +0.86% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2024-04-08 09:26:16 $36.63 +0.52% +0.14% +0.20% +0.14% -1.97% +1.26% +0.05% +0.05% WIN
2024-03-15 09:26:58 $35.4 -0.11% -1.37% -1.65% -1.64% -1.75% +0.08% -0.14% -0.11% LOSS
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $22.7 -0.62% -4.67% -2.86% -5.73% -5.68% +0.44% -0.09% -0.62% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ CDRE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.44% average gain, CDRE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CDRE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze CDRE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CDRE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CDRE historically offers an average upside of +0.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CDRE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, CDRE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CDRE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CDRE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.44%). This suggests CDRE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.