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CEG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-02 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 19, 2022 🔗 www.constellation.com
💰 Market Cap: $104.72B 👥 Employees: 14,264
Constellation Energy Corp producer of carbon-free energy and a supplier of energy products and services. The company offers generating capacity that includes nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. It sells electricity, natural gas, and other energy-related products and sustainable solutions to various types of customers, including distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and commercial, industrial, public sector, and residential customers in markets across multiple geographic regions. Its operating segments and reporting units are Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
53.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.51%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +2.96%
Worst: -4.47%
Trades: 5/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +4.99%
Worst: -6.99%
Trades: 6/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.66%
Avg Loser: -2.66%
Best: +7.15%
Worst: -6.55%
Trades: 7/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -2.49%
Best: +4.12%
Worst: -5.93%
Trades: 6/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +1.04%
Avg Winner: +4.61%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +8.54%
Worst: -6.42%
Trades: 7/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.51%
Best MFE: +10.25%
Avg Time to MFE: 172 min

On average, CEG alerts reach +3.51% profit potential within 172 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.54%
Worst MAE: -2.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, CEG typically reaches +3.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 30.8%
Avg Gap -0.49%
Best Gap +0.64%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How CEG compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CEG: -0.65% Sector: -0.25% -0.40%
EOD Gain
CEG: +1.04% Sector: -0.39% +1.43%
Avg MFE
CEG: +3.51% Sector: +4.31% -0.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CEG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:27:16 $285.03 -4.47% -6.99% -6.55% -4.76% -2.19% -0.23% -2.65% -1.22% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:53 $293.87 -1.90% -3.04% -1.71% -5.93% -6.42% +2.99% -1.32% -0.48% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:31 $281.18 +2.96% +4.99% +7.15% +4.12% +8.54% +10.25% -0.42% +0.47% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:22 $244.99 -2.49% -2.16% -2.65% -2.90% -4.08% -1.02% -2.07% -2.52% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:27:23 $236.0 -2.25% -2.52% -3.47% -2.04% -4.26% +0.55% -1.52% -1.48% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:27:35 $254.77 -0.47% +0.57% +1.46% +2.83% +4.49% +4.76% -2.25% +0.64% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:27:21 $260.35 +0.40% +2.98% +3.54% +0.54% -1.24% +4.42% -1.21% -0.30% WIN
2024-09-20 09:25:38 $236.5 -0.14% +1.83% +1.75% -0.18% +7.81% +7.92% -1.48% -0.57% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:29:03 $199.0 +1.36% +2.81% +3.07% +3.91% +4.52% +4.66% -0.45% -0.23% WIN
2023-03-13 09:25:00 $77.51 -1.32% -0.46% +0.60% +0.03% -0.53% +1.41% -1.32% -0.75% LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $51.58 +0.17% +0.67% +1.02% -0.72% +0.37% +1.59% -1.92% +0.25% WIN
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $49.5 -0.44% -1.31% -1.33% -0.91% +3.03% +3.11% -2.53% -0.67% LOSS
2022-03-02 09:25:00 $47.79 +0.08% -0.27% -0.23% +1.56% +3.49% +5.25% -0.96% +0.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.8% Baseline on CEG

The 53.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CEG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CEG Strategy →

Why Analyze CEG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CEG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CEG historically offers an average upside of +3.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CEG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, CEG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CEG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.