Latest signal:
CMA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 26 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-07-19
⚠️ Small sample size (26 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CMA alerts reach +3.54% profit potential within 143 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.32%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, CMA typically reaches +3.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
How CMA compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CMA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-19 | 09:27:18 | $49.89 | +1.80% | -0.08% | -0.95% | -2.12% | +1.06% | +2.22% | -0.22% | +0.76% | WIN |
| 2024-06-24 | 09:28:52 | $47.8 | -0.04% | +0.46% | +1.17% | +1.76% | +1.51% | +2.62% | -0.18% | +0.54% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-02 | 09:29:05 | $51.21 | +0.59% | -0.12% | +0.37% | -0.06% | +1.29% | +1.80% | +1.25% | +1.80% | WIN |
| 2024-02-20 | 09:28:00 | $50.34 | -1.25% | -0.25% | +0.85% | +0.32% | +0.16% | +1.05% | -1.65% | -1.65% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:29:00 | $56.7 | +0.67% | -0.62% | -0.85% | -0.45% | -2.31% | +0.97% | -0.34% | +0.07% | WIN |
| 2023-12-12 | 09:28:00 | $49.77 | -1.51% | -1.19% | -0.98% | -1.17% | -0.52% | -0.26% | -1.21% | -1.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $45.04 | -0.27% | +0.36% | +1.71% | +2.99% | +7.02% | +7.26% | -0.91% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-14 | 09:27:00 | $42.77 | +1.52% | +1.64% | +2.56% | +3.67% | +3.30% | +4.78% | +0.30% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:29:00 | $43.41 | +1.04% | +1.87% | +1.46% | +1.17% | +1.54% | +2.37% | +0.25% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2023-07-21 | 09:29:00 | $56.6 | -6.10% | -7.78% | -8.40% | -9.81% | -10.34% | - | -1.94% | -2.35% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-11 | 09:29:00 | $34.17 | -0.50% | +0.67% | +1.23% | -2.31% | -4.39% | +1.96% | -1.67% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-08 | 09:28:00 | $39.0 | +1.03% | -3.08% | -7.38% | -7.51% | -7.31% | +2.38% | -3.54% | -1.31% | WIN |
| 2023-05-05 | 09:29:00 | $35.35 | +1.41% | +1.10% | -3.54% | -1.34% | +3.08% | +4.36% | -4.64% | +2.23% | WIN |
| 2023-05-04 | 09:29:00 | $33.5 | +1.84% | -3.55% | -0.84% | -10.54% | -6.84% | +4.39% | -0.24% | +1.75% | WIN |
| 2023-05-03 | 09:29:00 | $37.0 | +1.31% | +1.41% | +1.16% | +2.99% | -3.84% | +3.97% | -0.41% | +0.97% | WIN |
| 2023-04-20 | 09:29:00 | $44.32 | -0.65% | +1.23% | +2.80% | +2.27% | +3.34% | +5.71% | -1.85% | +1.53% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-21 | 09:27:00 | $46.51 | +0.24% | +0.88% | +3.14% | +1.61% | +4.56% | +4.95% | -1.10% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-03-15 | 09:29:00 | $40.32 | +2.11% | +4.04% | +4.12% | +7.81% | +11.19% | +14.09% | -3.27% | -1.24% | WIN |
| 2023-03-14 | 09:25:00 | $50.6 | -1.72% | -7.98% | -11.56% | -10.89% | -14.03% | +0.01% | - | -1.13% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:26:00 | $44.0 | -3.61% | -14.11% | -19.02% | -28.11% | -3.32% | +15.91% | -33.70% | -2.89% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CMA Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 57.7% win rate, CMA has -0.46% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CMA profitable.
🔧 Fix CMA Risk/Reward →Why Analyze CMA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CMA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CMA historically offers an average upside of +3.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CMA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 57.7%, CMA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.16%) outweigh average wins (+2.99%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CMA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.46%). This suggests CMA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.