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Latest signal:

COF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2024-11-06

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Capital One Financial NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 16, 1994 🔗 www.capitalone.com
💰 Market Cap: $135.83B 👥 Employees: 77,000
Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending. Following the acquisition of Discover in 2025, the firm also has a modest personal loan business, though credit card lending provides the majority of the bank's revenue.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
76.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.05%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -1.80%
Trades: 6/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 6/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +4.07%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 8/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 58.8%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +3.81%
Worst: -4.25%
Trades: 10/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 76.5%
Avg Gain: +1.05%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +6.10%
Worst: -4.64%
Trades: 13/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.34%
Best MFE: +6.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 235 min

On average, COF alerts reach +2.34% profit potential within 235 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.18%
Worst MAE: -3.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.99:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, COF typically reaches +2.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How COF compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COF: -0.44% Sector: -0.06% -0.38%
EOD Gain
COF: +1.05% Sector: -0.08% +1.12%
Avg MFE
COF: +2.34% Sector: +1.53% +0.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-06 09:28:28 $188.0 +1.30% +2.41% +1.14% +0.05% +1.58% +5.48% -0.22% +1.22% WIN
2024-10-28 09:29:50 $163.2 -1.47% -0.90% -0.06% +1.30% +1.33% +1.66% -1.91% -0.99% LOSS
2024-02-20 09:29:42 $130.3 +0.66% +3.40% +4.07% +3.81% +5.44% +6.64% -0.47% +0.41% WIN
2023-12-11 09:28:00 $118.09 -0.41% -0.10% -0.42% -0.23% +0.61% +1.34% -0.82% -0.30% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:29:00 $105.5 +0.45% +0.04% +0.19% +1.11% +2.07% +2.07% -0.45% +0.34% WIN
2023-11-13 09:27:00 $104.0 +0.36% +0.82% +0.75% +1.22% +0.36% +1.98% -0.20% +0.04% WIN
2023-05-16 09:26:00 $95.38 -1.23% -1.58% -2.31% -4.25% -4.64% +0.13% -0.08% -1.45% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:29:00 $113.9 -0.87% -0.44% +1.62% +2.18% +2.13% +3.34% -1.73% -0.79% LOSS
2023-01-19 09:27:00 $97.73 -1.70% -2.41% -2.56% -1.80% +0.18% +0.86% -3.81% -0.43% LOSS
2023-01-10 09:27:00 $96.96 -0.52% -0.93% -0.97% -0.94% +1.59% +1.62% -1.66% -0.37% LOSS
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $92.2 -0.13% -0.72% +1.85% +2.46% +6.10% +6.56% -1.62% +0.60% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $134.6 -1.42% -1.23% -1.84% -1.37% +1.38% +1.67% -2.49% -0.51% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $155.4 +0.58% +1.44% +1.49% +0.46% -0.17% +1.73% +0.44% +0.77% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $156.45 -0.15% +1.05% +1.64% +2.24% -0.29% +2.51% -0.17% -0.17% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $159.96 -1.16% -0.36% -0.28% -0.04% -1.53% +0.34% -1.48% -1.00% LOSS
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $153.99 +0.01% -0.38% -0.33% +0.16% +1.29% +1.51% -0.88% -0.32% WIN
2022-01-28 09:25:00 $142.13 -1.80% -1.94% -2.02% -1.29% +0.34% +0.42% -2.48% -0.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 76.5% Baseline on COF

The 76.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push COF's performance to 75%+.

Optimize COF Strategy →

Why Analyze COF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COF historically offers an average upside of +2.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 76.5%, COF shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show COF performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.