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EPAM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2024-05-09

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 08, 2012 🔗 www.epam.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.05B 👥 Employees: 61,200
EPAM Systems is a global IT services firm with a focus on platform engineering, software development, and consulting services. The company used to host large engineer bases in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, but it now delivers from various locations across different continents. EPAM's largest market is North America, which represents approximately 60% of revenue.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.54%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +4.60%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 6/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +3.67%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 6/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 4/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.80%
Best MFE: +6.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 65 min

On average, EPAM alerts reach +2.80% profit potential within 65 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -2.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, EPAM typically reaches +2.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.24%
Best Gap +2.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES

How EPAM compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EPAM: +0.54% Sector: -0.98% +1.53%
EOD Gain
EPAM: -0.95% Sector: +64051.39% -64052.34%
Avg MFE
EPAM: +2.80% Sector: +8.84% -6.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EPAM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-09 09:28:15 $187.0 +4.60% +2.17% +1.71% +1.15% -2.71% +5.43% +1.36% +2.76% WIN
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $434.4 +0.10% -0.02% -0.20% +0.02% +0.04% +1.51% -0.43% +0.44% WIN
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $446.98 -0.65% -0.75% -1.29% -0.80% -2.54% -0.30% -1.52% -0.67% LOSS
2022-06-09 09:25:00 $328.99 -0.81% -1.17% +0.26% -0.15% -3.77% +0.58% -2.12% -0.36% LOSS
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $314.91 +0.54% +0.54% +0.97% -1.05% -0.71% +1.58% +1.58% +0.95% WIN
2022-04-28 09:25:00 $271.55 +0.72% -0.17% -0.61% -1.14% +3.48% +5.05% -2.68% +0.78% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $311.31 +0.63% +0.04% +3.67% -1.98% -1.37% +6.00% -1.39% -1.06% WIN
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $271.91 -0.34% +1.89% +1.54% +0.18% +1.21% +2.97% -0.70% -0.70% LOSS
2022-01-20 09:25:00 $496.99 +0.09% -0.23% +1.05% +1.00% -2.20% +2.35% -0.38% +0.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on EPAM

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EPAM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EPAM Strategy →

Why Analyze EPAM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EPAM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EPAM historically offers an average upside of +2.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EPAM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, EPAM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EPAM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.54%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.