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RGTI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 205 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Rigetti Computing, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES (SIC 7371)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 02, 2022 🔗 www.rigetti.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.74B 👥 Employees: 140
Rigetti Computing Inc is engaged in the business of full-stack quantum computing. The company offers full-stack quantum computing platform as a cloud service to a wide range of end-users, directly through its Rigetti QCS platform, and also through cloud service providers. Its proprietary quantum-classical infrastructure provides ultra-low latency integration with public and private clouds for high-performance practical quantum computing. The company has developed the industry's first multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Geographically, the company derives the majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
205
Total Alerts
🎯
40.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.37%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.9%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +9.95%
Worst: -10.85%
Trades: 61/135

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +4.00%
Avg Loser: -3.91%
Best: +17.93%
Worst: -15.97%
Trades: 76/122

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.8%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +5.35%
Avg Loser: -4.36%
Best: +30.32%
Worst: -17.57%
Trades: 73/126

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.7%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +6.42%
Avg Loser: -5.37%
Best: +30.56%
Worst: -25.39%
Trades: 79/122

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.5%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +9.13%
Avg Loser: -7.13%
Best: +50.23%
Worst: -26.76%
Trades: 83/117

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.91%
Best MFE: +59.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, RGTI alerts reach +7.91% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.56%
Worst MAE: -15.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 205 alerts, RGTI typically reaches +7.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 205
Gap Up % 26.8%
Avg Gap -0.43%
Best Gap +4.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES

How RGTI compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RGTI: -1.17% Sector: -0.98% -0.18%
EOD Gain
RGTI: -0.38% Sector: +64051.39% -64051.77%
Avg MFE
RGTI: +7.92% Sector: +8.84% -0.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RGTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:45 $12.15 -1.69% -3.00% -2.22% -1.40% -2.80% +0.66% -0.91% +0.33% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:45 $12.15 -1.48% -2.80% -4.86% -2.37% +0.82% +0.82% -6.42% -0.82% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:41 $10.94 +1.37% +2.24% +1.39% +3.75% +7.40% +11.79% -0.82% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:48 $12.47 -0.13% -1.84% -1.85% -3.01% -11.63% +0.24% -0.16% +0.16% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:45 $12.74 -3.17% -2.16% -2.79% -3.02% -3.06% +1.96% -4.08% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:47 $13.68 +0.18% +0.29% -1.83% -2.15% -6.07% +1.24% -1.72% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:23 $13.97 +1.36% +0.54% -1.79% -2.21% -4.87% +3.72% -0.21% - WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:43 $14.03 -2.93% -2.92% -2.49% -3.01% -1.43% +2.57% -4.99% -0.14% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:13 $14.12 +5.88% +5.67% +3.01% -4.57% -2.83% +7.29% -0.21% -0.18% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:57 $12.46 -1.12% -2.01% -2.09% -0.96% +8.11% +11.00% -4.74% -0.16% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:16 $12.33 +2.26% +4.79% +9.44% +16.79% +6.81% +18.25% -0.49% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:25 $13.07 -0.38% -1.49% -0.23% -0.61% -5.89% +2.30% -1.99% +0.46% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:01 $12.82 +1.79% +3.83% +3.67% +5.38% -1.25% +8.70% - - WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:44 $13.4 -2.42% -4.64% -2.53% -2.91% -2.39% +0.75% -0.45% +0.34% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:25 $11.86 +3.71% +2.70% +5.71% +5.56% +4.97% +14.42% -0.51% +1.43% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:57 $13.89 +2.96% +1.56% +1.62% +10.22% -4.97% +16.63% -0.14% +0.36% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:41 $13.07 +5.07% +8.57% +6.24% +4.67% +3.06% +11.94% -0.61% +0.31% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:11 $14.3 -1.82% -5.84% -1.92% -4.13% -2.73% +1.12% -3.29% -1.61% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:14 $10.42 +0.49% +15.74% +18.86% +14.64% +34.17% +35.03% -0.38% -0.38% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:41 $10.68 +2.15% +0.47% -0.94% -2.04% -7.96% +4.49% -2.15% -1.40% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RGTI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.5% win rate and -0.37% average gain, RGTI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RGTI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RGTI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RGTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RGTI historically offers an average upside of +7.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RGTI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.5%, RGTI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RGTI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RGTI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.37%). This suggests RGTI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.