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ESTA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-19 → 2024-09-27

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 19, 2018 🔗 establishmentlabs.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.92B 👥 Employees: 1,023
Establishment Labs Holdings Inc is a medical technology company engaged in offering medical devices and aesthetic products. It is involved in the designing, manufacturing, and marketing of silicone-filled breast and body-shaping implants. The company markets its products under Motiva implants Brand. It distributes its products to medical distributors; and physicians, hospitals, and clinics in the form of direct sales. Its geographical segments are Europe, Latin America, Asia-Pacific/Middle East, and Others.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+4.65%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+14.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -2.77%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -3.82%
Best: +1.43%
Worst: -6.15%
Trades: 1/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -2.02%
Avg Winner: +4.35%
Avg Loser: -6.27%
Best: +6.80%
Worst: -11.24%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +1.24%
Avg Winner: +9.76%
Avg Loser: -4.43%
Best: +14.43%
Worst: -10.24%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -2.60%
Avg Winner: +3.80%
Avg Loser: -6.87%
Best: +7.00%
Worst: -14.01%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +4.65%
Avg Winner: +11.98%
Avg Loser: -6.35%
Best: +19.65%
Worst: -6.83%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.61%
Best MFE: +49.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, ESTA alerts reach +14.61% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.31%
Worst MAE: -19.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ESTA typically reaches +14.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +1.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES

How ESTA compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ESTA: -2.77% Sector: -0.30% -2.48%
EOD Gain
ESTA: +4.65% Sector: +3169.91% -3165.26%
Avg MFE
ESTA: +14.61% Sector: +6.07% +8.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ESTA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-27 09:27:53 $49.97 -6.15% -4.89% -2.11% -1.93% -5.86% +0.06% -7.54% -0.72% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:27:35 $45.5 -0.59% +1.90% +5.09% +0.59% +0.40% +6.66% -3.27% +1.08% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:27:00 $23.27 -3.78% -2.66% -0.95% -4.66% -6.83% - -5.11% -2.02% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:29:00 $20.99 -4.76% -11.24% -10.24% -14.01% +19.65% +49.12% -19.20% -1.14% LOSS
2022-10-19 09:25:00 $44.12 +1.43% +6.80% +14.43% +7.00% +15.89% +17.20% -1.41% +1.99% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on ESTA

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ESTA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ESTA Strategy →

Why Analyze ESTA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESTA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESTA historically offers an average upside of +14.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ESTA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ESTA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ESTA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.