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Latest signal:

FE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-08-15

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

FirstEnergy Corp. ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 10, 1997 🔗 www.firstenergycorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.90B 👥 Employees: 12,294
FirstEnergy is an investor-owned holding company with operations across five mid-Atlantic and Midwestern states. FirstEnergy also owns and operates one of the nation's largest electric transmission systems.
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
57.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 6/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 15.8%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 3/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 26.3%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 5/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +1.18%
Worst: -1.61%
Trades: 7/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.05%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 11/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.62%
Best MFE: +2.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, FE alerts reach +0.62% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -1.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.11:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, FE typically reaches +0.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 47.4%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How FE compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FE: -0.13% Sector: -0.25% +0.12%
EOD Gain
FE: +0.15% Sector: -0.39% +0.54%
Avg MFE
FE: +0.62% Sector: +4.31% -3.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-15 09:27:08 $42.01 -0.31% -0.61% -0.69% -0.20% +0.74% +1.14% -0.75% -0.33% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:28:17 $38.26 -0.16% -0.46% -0.69% -0.43% +0.03% +0.55% +0.31% +0.50% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:28:25 $38.21 +0.10% +0.64% +0.46% +0.03% +0.24% +0.73% -0.10% +0.26% WIN
2024-03-18 09:26:41 $37.94 -0.03% -0.11% +0.29% +0.51% +0.71% +0.76% -0.24% +0.03% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:28:41 $35.83 -0.47% -0.38% -0.75% -0.28% -0.11% +0.06% -1.17% -0.59% LOSS
2023-12-07 09:28:00 $37.45 -0.72% -0.19% -0.19% -0.32% -0.40% +0.21% -0.61% +0.21% LOSS
2023-05-24 09:28:00 $37.9 +0.03% -0.29% -0.45% -0.09% -0.47% +0.26% -0.55% -0.08% WIN
2023-05-15 09:29:00 $39.65 -0.43% -1.19% -1.99% -1.61% -2.12% -0.08% -0.28% -0.25% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:27:00 $38.89 -0.41% -0.40% -0.49% -0.23% +0.10% +0.93% -1.02% +0.03% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:25:00 $38.95 - -0.37% -0.92% -1.39% -0.51% +0.08% -0.10% +0.08% -
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $47.28 -0.17% -0.19% -0.53% -0.94% -0.25% - -0.61% -0.17% LOSS
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $46.58 +0.47% +1.22% +1.13% +0.84% +0.13% +1.27% -0.24% -0.24% WIN
2022-04-04 09:25:00 $46.59 -0.88% -1.16% -1.18% -1.49% -0.60% -0.29% -1.84% -0.73% LOSS
2022-03-30 09:25:00 $45.41 - -0.11% +0.15% +0.11% +0.86% +0.88% -0.40% +0.18% -
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $45.02 +0.51% -0.13% -0.80% +0.04% +0.98% +1.00% -0.83% +0.16% WIN
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $44.84 -0.18% -0.45% -0.27% +0.27% +0.56% +0.60% -0.83% - LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $43.94 +0.55% +0.48% +0.82% +1.18% +2.05% +2.12% -0.07% +0.16% WIN
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $42.42 -0.46% -0.58% -0.91% -0.87% +1.08% +1.30% -1.17% -0.52% LOSS
2022-01-14 09:25:00 $41.6 +0.05% -1.08% -1.37% -0.95% -0.07% +0.24% -0.14% -0.14% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.9% Baseline on FE

The 57.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FE Strategy →

Why Analyze FE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FE historically offers an average upside of +0.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.9%, FE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.