FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

FHN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 58 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-11-27

⚠️ Small sample size (58 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

First Horizon Corporation NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 31, 1973 🔗 www.firsthorizon.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.60B 👥 Employees: 7,300
First Horizon Corp is the parent company of First Tennessee Bank, a prominent regional bank with about 200 branches around Tennessee. The company's reportable segments are: Commercial, Consumer & Wealth, Wholesale, and Corporate. The majority of its revenue is generated from Commercial, Consumer & Wealth. The Commercial, Consumer & Wealth segment offers financial products and services, including traditional lending and deposit taking, to commercial and consumer clients in the southern USA and other selected markets.
📊
58
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.04%
Worst: -5.15%
Trades: 29/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +4.21%
Worst: -15.19%
Trades: 26/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -2.49%
Best: +3.41%
Worst: -20.98%
Trades: 26/30

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +5.86%
Worst: -19.05%
Trades: 24/34

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +2.32%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +8.48%
Worst: -16.28%
Trades: 27/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.03%
Best MFE: +10.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, FHN alerts reach +2.03% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.84%
Worst MAE: -5.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 58 alerts, FHN typically reaches +2.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 58
Gap Up % 36.2%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +1.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How FHN compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FHN: -0.07% Sector: -0.06% -0.01%
EOD Gain
FHN: -0.10% Sector: -0.08% -0.02%
Avg MFE
FHN: +2.03% Sector: +1.53% +0.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FHN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-27 09:27:23 $21.3 +0.38% -0.14% -0.14% -0.35% -0.99% +0.70% -0.23% -0.23% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:22 $19.01 +1.74% +1.95% +2.24% +4.08% +5.73% +5.79% +0.21% +0.47% WIN
2024-10-21 09:27:48 $17.45 +0.20% -1.20% -1.12% -1.20% -1.89% +0.40% - +0.34% WIN
2024-07-02 09:26:18 $15.7 -0.32% -0.16% -0.19% -0.41% +0.70% +0.83% -0.76% -0.51% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:26:28 $15.38 -0.78% -0.29% +0.33% -0.42% -1.17% +0.46% -0.85% +0.26% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:26:27 $14.99 +1.20% +1.40% +0.93% +0.73% -0.13% +1.93% +0.80% +1.33% WIN
2024-02-07 09:27:20 $14.0 -1.43% -2.25% -3.79% -1.93% -2.43% -0.36% -1.79% -1.64% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $14.28 +0.84% +1.26% +0.67% -0.70% -1.47% +1.51% -0.77% -0.77% WIN
2023-12-05 09:25:00 $13.72 +0.66% +0.29% -0.58% -1.53% -1.02% +1.53% -0.58% -0.07% WIN
2023-11-15 09:27:00 $12.18 +0.90% +1.72% +1.97% +2.42% +2.63% +3.37% - +1.23% WIN
2023-11-03 09:29:00 $11.91 -0.08% +0.80% +0.59% -1.09% -0.42% +1.13% -0.59% - LOSS
2023-10-18 09:27:00 $11.04 -0.09% -0.09% -0.72% +2.26% +0.27% +4.03% -4.26% -2.26% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:26:00 $10.27 +0.05% +1.51% +0.68% +0.24% +0.97% +2.00% -0.10% +0.29% WIN
2023-09-07 09:29:00 $11.91 +0.84% +0.50% -0.71% -1.18% -1.76% +1.18% -0.08% -0.08% WIN
2023-08-22 09:26:00 $12.66 -0.08% -0.28% -0.87% -1.50% -3.63% +0.39% -0.55% +0.24% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:25:00 $12.65 +0.55% +1.50% +2.17% +2.33% +4.35% +5.14% -1.03% +0.16% WIN
2023-07-20 09:29:00 $13.04 -0.69% -2.07% -2.91% -4.72% -1.69% +1.00% - +0.77% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:28:00 $12.88 -2.41% -1.51% -2.60% -3.26% -3.03% +0.70% -0.54% -0.85% LOSS
2023-07-06 09:27:00 $11.7 -0.13% -2.22% -2.35% -1.60% -0.26% +0.26% -2.61% -0.09% LOSS
2023-06-27 09:27:00 $11.22 -2.23% -1.34% -0.76% -0.04% +0.09% +2.14% -2.58% -1.43% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FHN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.07% average gain, FHN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FHN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FHN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FHN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FHN historically offers an average upside of +2.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FHN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FHN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FHN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FHN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.07%). This suggests FHN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.