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Latest signal:

HE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-08-14 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.hei.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.54B 👥 Employees: 2,602
Hawaiian Electric Industries is the parent company of three Hawaii-based regulated utilities and owns a 10% minority interest in Hawaii's American Savings Bank. The utilities provide electricity on the five islands of Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, and Lanai.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
51.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.68%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.28%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +5.55%
Worst: -6.16%
Trades: 10/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +9.45%
Worst: -10.18%
Trades: 13/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +4.06%
Avg Loser: -3.42%
Best: +15.65%
Worst: -15.58%
Trades: 10/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +4.79%
Avg Loser: -4.55%
Best: +17.30%
Worst: -19.39%
Trades: 12/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +5.31%
Avg Loser: -7.10%
Best: +20.30%
Worst: -28.38%
Trades: 15/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.28%
Best MFE: +24.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, HE alerts reach +5.28% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.27%
Worst MAE: -7.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, HE typically reaches +5.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 24.1%
Avg Gap -0.40%
Best Gap +3.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How HE compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HE: -0.56% Sector: -0.25% -0.31%
EOD Gain
HE: -0.68% Sector: -0.39% -0.30%
Avg MFE
HE: +5.28% Sector: +4.31% +0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:26:24 $10.48 -1.72% -3.29% -4.07% -5.92% -3.72% -0.95% -2.19% -0.95% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:29:44 $10.17 +0.13% +1.42% +0.15% -0.49% -0.98% +2.16% -1.08% -0.39% WIN
2024-10-01 09:29:32 $9.73 -1.23% -1.70% -1.26% -2.62% -6.27% +0.10% -0.93% -0.41% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:28:54 $9.64 -0.41% +1.71% +1.76% +3.48% +2.70% +5.91% -1.24% -0.41% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:28:28 $12.58 +3.50% +2.46% -1.19% +4.24% +5.41% +6.68% -3.82% -3.66% WIN
2024-08-05 09:29:24 $15.59 +0.13% -0.13% -1.41% +0.42% +7.57% +8.34% -2.50% -0.06% WIN
2024-07-22 09:25:49 $17.59 -4.46% -10.18% -15.58% -19.39% -14.67% -1.59% -2.10% -1.99% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:28:30 $17.63 +0.74% -0.26% -0.51% -4.00% -0.68% +3.63% -0.11% -0.06% WIN
2024-04-17 09:25:08 $9.67 -1.03% -1.96% -3.26% -2.17% +1.03% +2.59% -4.24% -0.93% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $12.98 +1.43% +2.16% +1.77% +1.93% +3.47% +4.39% -0.38% -0.23% WIN
2023-11-10 09:28:00 $12.98 -5.39% -1.00% -2.70% -4.16% -10.55% +0.15% -7.05% -2.23% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:26:00 $12.65 - +0.88% +1.81% +3.48% +3.08% +5.61% -2.69% -1.50% -
2023-09-07 09:27:00 $12.08 -0.66% +0.50% +1.38% +0.33% +2.65% +3.64% -1.25% +0.41% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:26:00 $12.56 -1.35% +0.35% -1.83% -4.86% -2.39% +1.35% -1.83% +0.64% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:25:00 $14.56 -3.21% -4.46% -6.22% -7.52% -14.70% +0.21% +0.13% -0.76% LOSS
2023-09-01 09:25:00 $14.02 -0.11% -1.00% -0.86% +0.08% +7.35% +9.77% -1.71% -0.50% LOSS
2023-08-31 09:25:00 $14.32 +1.26% -1.01% -0.01% -4.09% -2.10% +2.30% -1.26% -0.84% WIN
2023-08-30 09:26:00 $13.42 +1.27% +4.10% +3.81% +5.70% +1.56% +7.30% -0.89% -0.60% WIN
2023-08-29 09:28:00 $13.97 -6.16% -4.94% -6.55% -2.38% -4.65% +0.07% -0.14% -1.86% LOSS
2023-08-28 09:29:00 $13.51 +5.55% +3.33% -1.27% -1.18% +3.40% +9.10% -2.74% -0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HE Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.7% win rate, HE has -0.68% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making HE profitable.

🔧 Fix HE Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze HE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HE historically offers an average upside of +5.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.7%, HE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-7.10%) outweigh average wins (+5.31%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.68%). This suggests HE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.