Latest signal:
HOPE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-21 → 2023-03-13
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HOPE alerts reach +0.39% profit potential within 51 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.21%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, HOPE typically reaches +0.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
How HOPE compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HOPE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-13 | 09:26:00 | $11.56 | -7.17% | -10.63% | -5.02% | -10.21% | -8.39% | +1.47% | -11.42% | -4.84% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:29:00 | $12.96 | +0.23% | +0.46% | +0.31% | +0.08% | -0.69% | +0.46% | +0.08% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:26:00 | $13.3 | -0.98% | -0.90% | -1.73% | -1.92% | -2.56% | -0.75% | -1.28% | -0.98% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HOPE Shows Negative Expectancy
With 33.3% win rate and -2.64% average gain, HOPE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HOPE for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze HOPE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOPE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOPE historically offers an average upside of +0.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HOPE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, HOPE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HOPE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HOPE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.64%). This suggests HOPE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.