Latest signal:
NRG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2025-01-27
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NRG alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 59 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.52x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, NRG typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES
How NRG compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NRG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:04 | $102.0 | +1.19% | -2.26% | -3.86% | -4.72% | -4.42% | +3.92% | +0.98% | +3.02% | WIN |
| 2024-09-06 | 09:29:46 | $77.75 | +1.95% | +1.74% | +1.27% | +0.51% | -1.59% | +2.38% | +1.02% | +1.02% | WIN |
| 2023-05-15 | 09:25:00 | $35.2 | -2.44% | -3.24% | -4.01% | -5.06% | -4.03% | +0.14% | - | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-08 | 09:25:00 | $33.18 | -0.45% | -0.45% | +0.48% | +1.90% | -3.01% | +2.50% | -0.81% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $35.75 | -0.56% | +2.01% | +2.99% | +0.14% | -2.99% | +3.64% | -1.09% | -0.45% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-26 | 09:25:00 | $37.27 | +0.46% | +0.91% | +1.18% | +1.21% | - | +1.96% | +0.27% | +0.46% | WIN |
| 2022-02-01 | 09:25:00 | $39.93 | -0.88% | -1.93% | -2.43% | -2.75% | -2.96% | +0.15% | -1.13% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-25 | 09:25:00 | $39.82 | -1.08% | -1.18% | -1.66% | -1.71% | -0.28% | +0.68% | -2.64% | -1.33% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NRG Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.75% average gain, NRG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NRG for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NRG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NRG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NRG historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NRG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NRG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NRG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NRG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.75%). This suggests NRG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.