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PNC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

PNC Financial Services Group NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 18, 1975 🔗 www.pnc.com
💰 Market Cap: $88.70B 👥 Employees: 55,184
PNC Financial is one of the three super-regional banks in the US, with around $560 billion in total assets at the end of June 30, 2025. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, PNC Financial has a coast-to-coast branch network, with a strong presence in the US Midwest and Northeast. It is currently expanding in the Southern and Western regions of the US. The bank provides a diversified set of financial services in retail banking, commercial banking, card and treasury management, asset management, and investment banking. PNC derived around 37% of revenue from fee income and 63% from net interest income in 2024.
📊
22
Total Alerts
🎯
45.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.8%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -3.39%
Trades: 7/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +1.51%
Worst: -3.74%
Trades: 8/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 9/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +3.87%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 9/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +3.94%
Worst: -3.66%
Trades: 10/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.55%
Best MFE: +6.10%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, PNC alerts reach +1.55% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.89%
Worst MAE: -3.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.89%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.74:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, PNC typically reaches +1.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 22
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +0.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How PNC compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PNC: -0.36% Sector: -0.06% -0.30%
EOD Gain
PNC: +0.01% Sector: -0.08% +0.09%
Avg MFE
PNC: +1.55% Sector: +1.53% +0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:25:26 $197.63 -0.02% -0.50% -0.15% -0.40% -0.67% +0.08% -0.15% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:28:43 $199.84 -1.59% -1.79% -2.02% -1.93% -2.54% -1.24% -1.96% -1.96% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:28:30 $207.73 -1.26% -1.55% -1.05% -0.98% -0.95% +0.08% -1.82% -1.82% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:29:21 $169.96 +0.81% -0.29% -0.87% -0.36% -1.73% +1.17% +0.36% +0.39% WIN
2024-06-26 09:26:25 $151.33 -0.56% +0.17% -0.17% -0.27% +0.32% +0.83% -0.69% -0.23% LOSS
2023-12-26 09:26:00 $152.47 -0.34% -0.03% +0.23% +0.77% +1.07% +1.38% -0.34% -0.09% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:28:00 $140.67 +0.01% +0.11% +0.14% -0.03% +0.23% +0.95% +0.14% +0.43% WIN
2023-11-15 09:29:00 $126.75 +0.87% +0.89% +1.14% +1.61% +1.74% +2.42% -0.27% -0.13% WIN
2023-07-18 09:26:00 $125.55 -0.32% +0.34% +1.61% +2.92% +3.82% +5.39% -0.92% -0.43% LOSS
2023-05-01 09:26:00 $126.63 -2.08% -3.51% -1.83% -2.04% -3.66% +0.11% -1.66% -0.12% LOSS
2023-04-14 09:27:00 $122.8 -1.09% -3.74% -2.29% -2.98% -0.77% +0.16% - -1.06% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $129.27 -3.39% -3.54% -1.28% -2.91% +0.61% +2.86% -3.91% +0.05% LOSS
2023-03-10 09:28:00 $133.5 +0.91% -0.85% +1.66% +3.87% +2.74% +6.10% -0.90% +0.53% WIN
2023-01-18 09:28:00 $152.0 -0.46% +0.01% +0.66% +0.91% +0.05% +2.11% -1.59% +0.32% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:25:00 $160.01 +1.62% +1.29% +1.62% +1.63% +2.32% +3.81% +0.40% +0.99% WIN
2022-11-14 09:25:00 $165.69 -0.21% -0.12% -0.16% -0.21% -1.45% +0.13% -0.34% -0.08% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $172.51 -0.88% -1.27% -1.58% -1.60% -0.01% +0.15% -2.60% -0.39% LOSS
2022-04-22 09:25:00 $176.8 +0.45% +0.66% -0.15% -0.09% -2.01% +0.87% +0.42% +0.63% WIN
2022-02-11 09:25:00 $210.63 -0.59% -0.38% +0.31% +0.63% -1.55% +1.01% -1.03% -0.76% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $211.91 -0.45% -0.01% -0.02% +0.82% -0.60% +1.22% -0.60% -0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.5% Baseline on PNC

The 45.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PNC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PNC Strategy →

Why Analyze PNC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PNC historically offers an average upside of +1.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PNC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, PNC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PNC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.