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PNW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-23 → 2024-10-04

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.pinnaclewest.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.03B 👥 Employees: 6,403
Pinnacle West is a holding company whose principal subsidiary is Arizona Public Service, a vertically integrated electric utility serving approximately 1.4 million customers across a 35,000-square-mile territory in central Arizona, including the Phoenix area. APS owns or leases 6.5 gigawatts of power generation capacity, including a 29% ownership stake in one of the largest nuclear plants in the US, Palo Verde. Half of the electricity that APS supplies to customers comes from clean energy sources, including nuclear.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.14%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -1.18%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 2/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 3/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.14%
Best MFE: +2.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 80 min

On average, PNW alerts reach +1.14% profit potential within 80 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.23%
Worst MAE: -1.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, PNW typically reaches +1.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 71.4%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How PNW compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PNW: +0.11% Sector: -0.25% +0.36%
EOD Gain
PNW: -0.18% Sector: -0.39% +0.21%
Avg MFE
PNW: +1.17% Sector: +4.31% -3.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PNW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-04 09:26:06 $88.42 +0.40% +0.32% -0.27% -0.75% -0.50% +0.49% +0.20% +0.42% WIN
2024-10-01 09:27:51 $88.59 +0.45% +0.64% +0.44% +1.00% +2.17% +2.62% +0.06% +0.34% WIN
2024-04-01 09:25:41 $74.73 -0.24% -1.00% -0.86% -1.17% -0.91% -0.16% -0.24% -0.16% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:27:23 $72.08 - - +0.71% -0.24% +0.58% +0.97% +0.21% +0.21% -
2024-02-29 09:27:35 $67.75 +0.49% +2.42% +0.97% +1.90% +0.86% +2.73% -0.35% +0.21% WIN
2022-04-26 09:25:00 $76.63 -1.18% -0.90% -0.85% -0.53% -1.59% +0.43% -1.50% -1.21% LOSS
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $68.7 +0.71% +0.52% +0.45% -0.29% -1.08% +0.93% +0.04% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on PNW

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PNW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PNW Strategy →

Why Analyze PNW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PNW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PNW historically offers an average upside of +1.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PNW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, PNW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PNW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.