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PPL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2024-10-10

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 17, 1948 🔗 www.pplweb.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.79B 👥 Employees: 6,653
PPL is a holding company of regulated utilities in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island. The Pennsylvania regulated delivery and transmission segment distributes electricity to customers in central and eastern Pennsylvania. In Kentucky, LG&E and KU are involved in regulated electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. LG&E also provides regulated natural gas distribution. Rhode Island Energy operates electric and gas utilities in the state.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
47.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.12%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 7/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -2.18%
Trades: 6/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +3.62%
Worst: -2.27%
Trades: 8/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +3.41%
Worst: -2.36%
Trades: 8/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +4.48%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 7/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.05%
Best MFE: +4.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, PPL alerts reach +1.05% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.51%
Worst MAE: -2.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.51%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, PPL typically reaches +1.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 58.8%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How PPL compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PPL: -0.05% Sector: -0.25% +0.20%
EOD Gain
PPL: -0.19% Sector: -0.39% +0.20%
Avg MFE
PPL: +1.05% Sector: +4.31% -3.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-10 09:26:53 $31.92 -0.06% -0.03% +0.06% -0.81% -1.41% +0.25% -0.22% +0.06% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:26:52 $32.41 -0.40% -0.14% -0.17% +0.02% -0.80% +0.26% -0.43% -0.19% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:27 $30.96 +0.48% -1.65% -2.03% -2.36% -2.94% +0.65% -0.32% +0.03% WIN
2024-06-03 09:26:59 $29.47 -0.88% -0.51% -0.81% -0.56% -0.71% -0.27% -1.12% -0.58% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:27:20 $27.49 +1.13% +0.40% +0.35% +0.95% +1.86% +2.69% -0.09% +0.76% WIN
2024-03-05 09:29:35 $26.8 +0.15% +0.37% +0.60% +1.38% -0.15% +1.72% -0.11% +0.26% WIN
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $26.33 -0.15% -0.23% -0.84% -0.57% -0.61% +0.27% -0.13% +0.27% LOSS
2023-10-06 09:28:00 $22.94 -1.22% -2.18% -2.27% -1.48% +2.18% +2.79% -2.55% -1.13% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:28:00 $28.77 -0.52% -0.66% -0.42% -1.04% -0.94% +0.10% -0.17% -0.07% LOSS
2023-04-13 09:26:00 $28.56 -0.32% +0.10% +0.10% - +0.70% +1.05% -0.81% -0.10% LOSS
2023-03-01 09:28:00 $27.1 -0.74% -0.89% -0.79% -1.18% -1.55% -0.41% -0.85% -1.07% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:27:00 $27.66 -0.04% -0.14% -0.02% +0.07% +0.72% +0.94% -0.87% +0.18% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:29:00 $28.05 +0.18% -0.32% +0.25% +0.39% -1.21% +0.46% -0.68% -0.14% WIN
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $28.7 +0.35% +1.39% +0.96% +0.47% +0.03% +1.46% +0.07% +0.38% WIN
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $25.66 +1.01% +1.77% +3.62% +3.41% +4.48% +4.64% +0.04% +0.35% WIN
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $27.07 -0.07% -0.78% -1.07% -1.00% -3.58% +0.41% -0.30% +0.11% LOSS
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $29.51 +0.17% +0.42% +0.44% +0.03% +0.68% +0.88% -0.20% +0.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PPL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.1% win rate and -0.12% average gain, PPL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PPL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PPL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PPL historically offers an average upside of +1.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.1%, PPL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PPL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.12%). This suggests PPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.