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Latest signal:

RF Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Regions Financial Corp. NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 01, 1981 🔗 www.regions.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.85B 👥 Employees: 19,642
Regions Financial is one of the midsized regional banks in the US, with around $160 billion in total assets as of Sept. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, Regions Financial has a footprint mostly in the US southeast. The bank provides a diversified set of financial services in retail banking, commercial banking, card and treasury management, wealth management, and capital markets.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
51.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.14%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -6.11%
Trades: 12/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 12/17

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +5.65%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 15/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.53%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +17.96%
Worst: -5.71%
Trades: 13/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -2.07%
Best: +16.36%
Worst: -6.60%
Trades: 11/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.29%
Best MFE: +24.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, RF alerts reach +2.29% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.30%
Worst MAE: -14.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.76:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, RF typically reaches +2.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 41.4%
Avg Gap -0.46%
Best Gap +1.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How RF compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RF: -0.34% Sector: -0.06% -0.28%
EOD Gain
RF: -0.13% Sector: -0.08% -0.05%
Avg MFE
RF: +2.29% Sector: +1.53% +0.76%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:25:11 $26.47 -0.91% -0.49% -0.53% -0.90% -0.64% -0.19% -0.98% -0.72% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:28:37 $27.45 -0.38% -0.87% -1.40% -1.26% -0.69% -0.04% -0.47% -0.36% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:28 $25.13 +1.35% +1.11% +1.15% +2.23% +4.70% +4.78% -0.88% -0.44% WIN
2024-10-21 09:27:41 $23.92 +0.75% -0.75% -0.54% -0.73% -1.21% +1.13% +0.04% +0.54% WIN
2024-07-29 09:28:31 $22.76 +0.09% -0.53% -0.70% -1.27% -1.45% +0.53% +0.22% +0.22% WIN
2024-05-15 09:26:38 $20.1 +1.02% +1.19% +1.19% +0.65% +0.80% +1.34% +0.45% +0.90% WIN
2023-10-20 09:26:00 $14.6 -1.27% -0.01% -2.74% -4.45% -1.10% +2.40% -3.36% -0.92% LOSS
2023-07-19 09:25:00 $19.66 +0.66% -0.20% +0.38% +0.97% +1.83% +2.39% -0.46% +1.37% WIN
2023-07-14 09:25:00 $19.48 -0.59% -1.16% -1.69% -1.87% -2.72% +0.10% +0.10% - LOSS
2023-05-05 09:27:00 $16.4 -0.79% +0.06% -1.83% -1.04% +0.85% +0.91% -2.13% +0.37% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:26:00 $18.29 +0.38% +0.85% +3.55% +1.20% -1.15% +3.61% -0.44% +0.19% WIN
2023-03-15 09:29:00 $17.94 +0.28% +3.40% +2.45% +1.92% -1.62% +4.01% -0.78% +1.78% WIN
2023-03-14 09:25:00 $20.3 -1.63% -5.00% -4.98% -5.71% -6.60% -0.79% -2.07% -2.07% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $16.2 -6.11% -2.78% +5.65% +17.96% +16.36% +24.14% -14.01% -12.28% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $22.02 -0.32% +0.36% +0.18% +0.61% - +0.93% -0.86% -0.27% LOSS
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $19.85 -0.43% +1.64% +2.42% +1.16% -1.66% +4.23% -0.86% - LOSS
2022-05-10 09:25:00 $20.78 +0.20% -0.14% +0.10% -0.89% -2.84% +0.53% -0.39% -0.14% WIN
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $21.15 -0.43% -1.56% -1.35% -0.24% +2.13% +2.20% -2.20% +0.05% LOSS
2022-03-30 09:25:00 $23.34 -0.86% -1.33% -1.37% -2.59% -2.96% - -0.09% -0.69% LOSS
2022-02-14 09:25:00 $25.03 -0.12% +0.32% +0.08% -0.96% -2.04% +0.64% -0.48% -0.48% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RF Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.7% win rate, RF has -0.14% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making RF profitable.

🔧 Fix RF Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze RF with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RF historically offers an average upside of +2.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RF Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.7%, RF shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.75%) outweigh average wins (+1.37%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.14%). This suggests RF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.