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RGTIW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-25 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Rigetti Computing, Inc. Warrants SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES (SIC 7371)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 02, 2022 🔗 www.rigetti.com
👥 Employees: 140
Rigetti Computing Inc is engaged in the business of full-stack quantum computing. The company offers full-stack quantum computing platform as a cloud service to a wide range of end-users, directly through its Rigetti QCS platform, and also through cloud service providers. Its proprietary quantum-classical infrastructure provides ultra-low latency integration with public and private clouds for high-performance practical quantum computing. The company has developed the industry's first multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Geographically, the company derives the majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-8.50%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+7.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -7.07%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -8.00%
Best: +0.39%
Worst: -16.17%
Trades: 1/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -8.20%
Avg Winner: +3.46%
Avg Loser: -11.52%
Best: +6.50%
Worst: -31.82%
Trades: 2/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -9.48%
Avg Winner: +10.31%
Avg Loser: -11.95%
Best: +10.31%
Worst: -29.64%
Trades: 1/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -8.50%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -14.43%
Best: +3.55%
Worst: -27.95%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -9.19%
Avg Winner: +8.87%
Avg Loser: -11.45%
Best: +8.87%
Worst: -27.41%
Trades: 1/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.52%
Best MFE: +34.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 31 min

On average, RGTIW alerts reach +7.52% profit potential within 31 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.58%
Worst MAE: -18.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.99:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, RGTIW typically reaches +7.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +7.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES

How RGTIW compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RGTIW: -7.07% Sector: -0.98% -6.09%
EOD Gain
RGTIW: -9.19% Sector: +64051.39% -64060.58%
Avg MFE
RGTIW: +7.52% Sector: +8.84% -1.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RGTIW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:26:51 $6.6 -5.45% -6.82% -3.03% -6.06% -7.42% - -8.18% -1.67% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:55 $4.85 -0.41% +0.41% +10.31% +3.51% +8.87% +14.43% -4.12% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:42 $5.07 +0.39% +6.50% -0.79% +3.55% -2.17% +9.47% -1.38% +0.79% WIN
2025-01-10 09:29:42 $3.71 -16.17% -6.47% -8.89% +2.96% -9.97% +34.67% -18.87% +0.27% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:30 $4.4 -10.49% -31.82% -25.23% -27.95% -15.45% -1.14% -1.36% -3.64% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:28:07 $4.88 -7.79% -13.83% -5.74% -8.40% -10.04% +0.41% -7.79% +0.41% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:25:33 $3.91 -6.65% -8.44% -18.14% -20.20% -14.32% +1.02% -0.26% -0.26% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:28:22 $1.45 -9.66% -5.52% -4.14% -6.90% -4.83% +1.38% -15.17% -3.45% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:07 $1.35 -7.41% -7.78% -29.64% -17.04% -27.41% +7.41% -11.11% +7.41% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RGTIW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -8.50% average gain, RGTIW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RGTIW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RGTIW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RGTIW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RGTIW historically offers an average upside of +7.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RGTIW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, RGTIW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RGTIW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RGTIW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -8.50%). This suggests RGTIW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.