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SPAI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-05 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 28, 2024 🔗 www.safeprogroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $129.6M 👥 Employees: 13
Safe Pro Group Inc operates to acquire security and protection products. Its emphasis is on the development of a cloud-based ecosystem for analyzing drone imagery and data utilizing proprietary artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, deep learning, and applied computer vision software for hyper-scalable processing, analysis, and reporting. The company operated in three reportable business segments which consisted of: the business of Safe-Pro USA, the business of Airborne Response, and the business of Safe Pro AI. Key revenue is generated from Airborne Response.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
46.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.47%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+10.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +3.65%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +6.73%
Worst: -10.90%
Trades: 6/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 23.1%
Avg Gain: -3.53%
Avg Winner: +4.44%
Avg Loser: -5.92%
Best: +8.19%
Worst: -16.51%
Trades: 3/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -3.43%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: -8.42%
Best: +8.76%
Worst: -23.29%
Trades: 5/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -3.81%
Avg Winner: +4.56%
Avg Loser: -9.03%
Best: +10.39%
Worst: -26.28%
Trades: 5/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -5.37%
Avg Winner: +5.35%
Avg Loser: -12.07%
Best: +13.30%
Worst: -28.37%
Trades: 5/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.58%
Best MFE: +22.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 52 min

On average, SPAI alerts reach +10.58% profit potential within 52 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.48%
Worst MAE: -13.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, SPAI typically reaches +10.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 46.2%
Avg Gap -0.24%
Best Gap +5.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES

How SPAI compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPAI: -0.47% Sector: -0.30% -0.18%
EOD Gain
SPAI: -5.37% Sector: +3169.91% -3175.28%
Avg MFE
SPAI: +10.58% Sector: +6.07% +4.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPAI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:26:13 $2.88 +2.98% +0.35% -2.77% -1.04% -18.06% +7.64% -0.62% +0.35% WIN
2024-12-30 09:25:08 $4.59 -0.33% -6.73% -8.93% -6.97% -3.05% +0.71% -1.53% - LOSS
2024-12-20 09:27:24 $3.77 -0.13% -2.39% -5.17% -5.04% -0.27% +6.37% +2.12% +5.30% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:58 $3.62 -3.72% -3.07% +1.07% -4.70% -10.50% +2.18% -1.10% -4.70% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:26:45 $4.81 +1.87% -2.29% +6.65% +10.39% +0.21% +16.01% -3.33% +1.66% WIN
2024-11-25 09:25:05 $4.9 +4.49% -7.13% -3.16% -1.48% -6.33% +6.94% +0.20% +0.20% WIN
2024-11-22 09:25:47 $4.36 -10.32% -8.26% -7.34% -10.55% +4.82% +6.88% -13.30% +0.92% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:07 $6.24 -10.90% -16.51% -23.29% -26.28% -28.37% +4.17% -5.45% -1.01% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:25 $2.96 -1.86% -1.69% +2.37% +2.70% +8.11% +21.96% -5.40% -2.70% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:28:39 $2.03 +0.49% -4.43% -3.94% +2.22% +13.30% +22.41% -6.90% -1.48% WIN
2024-09-26 09:29:33 $3.45 +6.73% -6.67% -12.75% -16.22% -17.68% +14.49% -3.48% -2.03% WIN
2024-09-18 09:29:50 $3.42 +5.34% +8.19% +8.76% +7.02% +0.29% +22.81% -3.51% -0.29% WIN
2024-09-05 09:26:52 $4.38 -0.80% +4.79% +3.88% +0.46% -12.33% +5.02% -2.97% +0.68% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SPAI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.2% win rate and -0.47% average gain, SPAI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SPAI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SPAI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPAI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPAI historically offers an average upside of +10.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPAI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.2%, SPAI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SPAI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPAI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.47%). This suggests SPAI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.