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TFC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 70 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (70 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Truist Financial Corporation NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.truist.com
💰 Market Cap: $62.58B 👥 Employees: 38,335
Truist Financial is one of the three super-regional banks in the US, with roughly $545 billion in assets as of the second quarter of 2025. Truist emerged from the combination of BB&T and SunTrust in 2019. Based in Charlotte, North Carolina, the bank's footprint is largely in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Apart from retail and commercial banking operations, the bank also offers online and point-of-sale consumer lending, cards, wealth management, investment banking, and other banking services.
📊
70
Total Alerts
🎯
45.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.46%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 26/43

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -5.68%
Trades: 32/38

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -5.73%
Trades: 25/44

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -6.83%
Trades: 32/38

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -12.37%
Trades: 29/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.60%
Best MFE: +9.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, TFC alerts reach +1.60% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%
Worst MAE: -9.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 70 alerts, TFC typically reaches +1.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 70
Gap Up % 35.7%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +2.15%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How TFC compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TFC: -0.32% Sector: -0.06% -0.25%
EOD Gain
TFC: -0.59% Sector: -0.08% -0.51%
Avg MFE
TFC: +1.60% Sector: +1.53% +0.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TFC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:27:16 $48.28 -0.19% -1.01% -0.47% -0.76% -1.24% +0.04% +0.02% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:37 $48.0 -0.33% -0.50% -0.75% -0.91% +0.31% +0.52% -1.10% +0.40% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:28 $47.01 +0.05% +0.21% +0.26% -0.17% -0.53% +0.47% -0.10% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:11 $46.31 +1.86% +2.83% +2.52% +1.52% +2.89% +3.10% +0.52% +1.53% WIN
2024-12-23 09:26:05 $43.63 -0.87% -1.19% -0.99% -1.01% -0.21% -0.16% -1.65% -1.44% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:25:32 $45.82 -0.32% -0.35% -0.37% -0.89% -1.16% +0.15% -0.24% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:27:51 $45.72 +0.31% -0.09% -0.55% +0.12% +0.13% +0.48% -0.39% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-29 09:28:38 $48.08 -0.16% -0.62% -1.02% -0.55% -0.83% +0.05% -0.40% -0.15% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:45 $46.63 +0.09% +0.28% +0.14% +0.17% +0.34% +0.86% -0.60% -0.49% WIN
2024-11-15 09:28:25 $46.2 +0.93% +1.34% +1.23% +0.37% +0.76% +1.61% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:45 $45.28 -0.35% +0.35% -0.38% +0.73% +3.80% +3.86% -0.97% -0.62% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:28:19 $42.87 +0.91% +1.26% +1.75% +1.71% +1.03% +2.18% -0.28% -0.28% WIN
2024-10-21 09:28:02 $43.69 -0.48% -1.59% -1.65% -1.90% -2.88% -0.27% -1.01% -0.89% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:29:41 $41.7 +0.55% +0.50% +0.73% +0.53% +0.17% +1.46% -0.34% -0.34% WIN
2024-09-04 09:29:06 $44.34 -0.02% +0.14% +0.32% -0.18% -1.62% +0.35% -1.11% -0.45% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:55 $42.2 +0.31% +0.75% -0.01% -0.69% -0.78% +0.83% -0.21% -0.05% WIN
2024-08-12 09:26:21 $41.73 +1.39% +0.36% -0.46% +0.42% -1.22% +1.46% +0.22% +0.22% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:36 $40.45 +0.17% -0.52% -1.01% +0.61% +1.80% +3.41% -1.31% +0.91% WIN
2024-06-21 09:28:50 $36.89 -1.55% -1.57% -1.22% -0.65% -0.27% -0.16% -1.99% -1.03% LOSS
2024-06-12 09:26:16 $36.28 +1.05% +1.27% +1.46% +1.50% +1.46% +2.19% +0.44% +0.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TFC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.7% win rate and -0.46% average gain, TFC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TFC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TFC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TFC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TFC historically offers an average upside of +1.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TFC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, TFC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TFC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TFC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.46%). This suggests TFC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.