Latest signal:
USB Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 59 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2024-11-13
⚠️ Small sample size (59 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, USB alerts reach +1.63% profit potential within 117 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.99%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 59 alerts, USB typically reaches +1.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
How USB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical USB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | 09:25:57 | $51.32 | -0.70% | -0.49% | -0.19% | -0.18% | -0.29% | +0.70% | -0.99% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:25:43 | $50.8 | +0.06% | +0.73% | +0.43% | +0.32% | -0.08% | +0.91% | -0.02% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:26:23 | $50.03 | +1.33% | +0.96% | +0.54% | +0.94% | +2.46% | +3.46% | -0.74% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:25:13 | $48.52 | +2.14% | +0.88% | +2.31% | +1.63% | +1.42% | +3.28% | -0.06% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:29:49 | $42.23 | +0.63% | -0.25% | -0.73% | -0.52% | -1.80% | +0.99% | -0.28% | +0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-06-26 | 09:29:11 | $39.89 | +0.13% | -0.18% | -0.45% | -0.85% | -0.45% | +0.30% | -0.68% | -0.45% | WIN |
| 2024-04-17 | 09:25:20 | $39.1 | +0.79% | +1.41% | +1.20% | +0.75% | +1.07% | +2.23% | -0.10% | +1.02% | WIN |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:27:55 | $41.3 | +0.58% | +0.87% | +0.34% | +0.48% | +0.68% | +1.03% | -0.29% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:26:00 | $45.28 | -0.83% | -1.21% | -2.13% | -1.88% | -2.72% | +0.04% | -0.64% | +0.04% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:29:00 | $44.74 | +0.76% | -0.09% | +0.42% | +0.73% | +0.60% | +1.65% | -0.69% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:25:00 | $43.75 | +1.92% | +3.52% | +3.92% | +2.40% | +3.61% | +4.80% | -0.27% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2023-12-08 | 09:28:00 | $39.59 | +0.76% | +1.14% | +1.17% | +1.96% | +2.12% | +2.55% | +0.03% | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:25:00 | $39.16 | +0.23% | +1.02% | +1.40% | +1.37% | +0.84% | +2.00% | -0.05% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:29:00 | $37.29 | +0.86% | +0.76% | +1.47% | +1.53% | +1.34% | +2.19% | -0.08% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:27:00 | $36.78 | -0.54% | -0.49% | -0.22% | -0.16% | +0.71% | +0.98% | -0.77% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-20 | 09:27:00 | $37.79 | -0.90% | -0.87% | -1.01% | -0.48% | -0.42% | +0.16% | -1.48% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:28:00 | $35.07 | +0.88% | +1.44% | +1.03% | +0.73% | +1.20% | +2.25% | -0.14% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2023-10-27 | 09:25:00 | $31.77 | -1.29% | -1.45% | -1.92% | -2.33% | -3.56% | -0.47% | -1.83% | -1.48% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-18 | 09:27:00 | $34.75 | -1.87% | -1.18% | -1.77% | -2.42% | -3.97% | +1.58% | -0.26% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:27:00 | $33.68 | -1.13% | -0.65% | -0.62% | -0.95% | -1.96% | -0.50% | -1.43% | -1.40% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ USB Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 50.8% win rate, USB has -0.11% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making USB profitable.
🔧 Fix USB Risk/Reward →Why Analyze USB with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, USB historically offers an average upside of +1.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 USB Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.8%, USB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.94%) outweigh average wins (+0.69%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: USB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.11%). This suggests USB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.