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VANI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-02 → 2024-09-26

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vivani Medical, Inc. Common Stock (DE) ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS (SIC 3845)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 31, 2022 🔗 www.vivani.com
💰 Market Cap: $108.0M 👥 Employees: 36
Vivani Medical Inc is a preclinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company develops miniaturized, subdermal implants utilizing its proprietary NanoPortal technology to enable long-term, near-constant-rate delivery of a broad range of medicines to treat chronic diseases. It has two reporting segments, the Biopharm Division and the Neuromodulation Division. The Biopharm Division includes activities from NPM and Vivani Medical Australia Pty Ltd, and the Neurostimulation Division includes activities from Cortigent and its subsidiary in Switzerland.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.04%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+15.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +3.04%
Avg Winner: +7.01%
Avg Loser: -3.58%
Best: +20.30%
Worst: -7.32%
Trades: 5/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -3.34%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -8.10%
Best: +3.28%
Worst: -13.58%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -5.80%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -8.27%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -18.47%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -1.53%
Avg Winner: +11.54%
Avg Loser: -11.33%
Best: +23.66%
Worst: -19.54%
Trades: 3/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.85%
Avg Winner: +14.68%
Avg Loser: -11.36%
Best: +18.87%
Worst: -35.74%
Trades: 2/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.08%
Best MFE: +35.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, VANI alerts reach +15.08% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.97%
Worst MAE: -4.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.65x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, VANI typically reaches +15.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 62.5%
Avg Gap +1.55%
Best Gap +5.65%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS

How VANI compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VANI: +3.59% Sector: -0.30% +3.90%
EOD Gain
VANI: -5.43% Sector: +884236.30% -884241.74%
Avg MFE
VANI: +16.59% Sector: +9.64% +6.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VANI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-26 09:29:54 $1.2 -2.58% -5.83% -5.42% -7.08% -6.25% +0.83% -1.67% -1.67% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:27:23 $1.22 +2.46% +3.28% +1.64% +1.27% -0.82% +8.20% +0.82% +4.92% WIN
2024-07-11 09:28:39 $1.33 -0.83% -1.50% -1.50% - -0.75% +4.51% -3.76% -1.50% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:29:11 $3.02 -7.32% -13.58% -17.22% -19.54% -18.21% -0.33% -3.64% -0.66% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:29:57 $3.3 +1.82% +2.42% -3.64% -5.45% -6.36% +5.15% -0.30% +0.30% WIN
2024-02-29 09:27:06 $3.55 +5.63% - -3.38% +23.66% +18.87% +35.21% -4.23% +1.41% WIN
2024-02-28 09:28:13 $5.82 +20.30% -11.51% -18.47% -13.23% -35.74% +34.02% -1.37% +3.95% WIN
2023-05-02 09:25:00 $1.24 +4.84% - +1.61% +9.68% +10.48% +33.06% -1.61% +5.65% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on VANI

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VANI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VANI Strategy →

Why Analyze VANI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VANI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VANI historically offers an average upside of +15.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VANI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, VANI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VANI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.