Latest signal:
VLY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-27 → 2024-11-26
⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, VLY alerts reach +2.81% profit potential within 132 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.16%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.41x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, VLY typically reaches +2.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
How VLY compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical VLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-26 | 09:29:18 | $10.59 | +0.94% | +0.85% | +1.18% | +0.66% | +0.94% | +1.56% | - | - | WIN |
| 2024-11-08 | 09:28:59 | $9.65 | +1.71% | +2.54% | +2.38% | +1.04% | +3.21% | +4.04% | -1.55% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:25:10 | $10.21 | +2.94% | +2.06% | +1.27% | +2.84% | +3.04% | +4.02% | -1.08% | +1.27% | WIN |
| 2024-10-21 | 09:28:46 | $9.18 | +1.31% | +0.60% | +0.87% | -0.76% | -2.61% | +1.96% | - | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2024-10-18 | 09:27:09 | $9.52 | -0.95% | -0.63% | -0.37% | -0.68% | -1.47% | - | -0.63% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:25:01 | $9.3 | +0.22% | -1.18% | +0.16% | +1.29% | -0.43% | +3.33% | -1.56% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-07-30 | 09:26:31 | $7.93 | +2.02% | +1.64% | +2.46% | +2.59% | +3.40% | +4.16% | +1.39% | +2.40% | WIN |
| 2024-02-07 | 09:27:23 | $8.05 | +1.61% | -4.22% | -7.76% | -7.33% | -0.87% | +2.48% | +0.25% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:27:00 | $10.94 | +0.87% | +0.23% | +0.46% | +1.14% | +1.19% | +1.65% | -0.14% | +0.46% | WIN |
| 2023-07-26 | 09:27:00 | $9.84 | +2.03% | +1.98% | +2.74% | +3.96% | +4.67% | +5.89% | +0.48% | +1.02% | WIN |
| 2023-06-08 | 09:26:00 | $8.65 | -0.12% | -1.62% | -2.66% | -3.01% | -2.08% | +0.12% | -0.58% | -0.58% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:27:00 | $8.33 | -2.40% | -4.44% | -4.92% | -5.16% | -5.52% | +0.36% | -0.36% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-04 | 09:26:00 | $7.02 | -0.78% | -3.35% | -0.14% | -2.21% | +1.71% | +3.63% | -5.41% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-05-02 | 09:29:00 | $7.61 | - | -0.99% | +0.72% | -3.94% | -4.07% | +1.64% | -3.02% | -0.13% | - |
| 2023-05-01 | 09:28:00 | $8.87 | -3.83% | -7.10% | -7.44% | -7.84% | -15.11% | +1.69% | -2.03% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-27 | 09:25:00 | $8.27 | -2.18% | -1.27% | -0.36% | -1.39% | +7.74% | +8.34% | -4.35% | -1.81% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 56.2% Baseline on VLY
The 56.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VLY's performance to 75%+.
Optimize VLY Strategy →Why Analyze VLY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, VLY historically offers an average upside of +2.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 VLY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, VLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VLY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.