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WAFD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-01-08 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

WaFd, Inc. Common Stock NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 09, 1982 🔗 www.wafdbank.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.42B 👥 Employees: 2,037
WaFd Inc is engaged in providing lending, depository, insurance, and other banking services to consumers, mid-sized to large businesses, and owners and developers of commercial real estate. Through the WaFd Bank, it is involved in accepting deposits from the general public and investing these funds in loans of various types, including first-lien mortgages on single-family dwellings, construction loans, land acquisition and development loans among others. The Bank also invests in certain United States government and agency obligations along with other investments and also performs insurance brokerage activities. Geographically, it operates in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico, California and Texas.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.17%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.25%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: -1.17%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: -1.38%
Worst: -1.38%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: -1.80%
Worst: -1.80%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: -0.96%
Worst: -0.96%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: -0.25%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.25%
Best MFE: +0.25%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, WAFD alerts reach +0.25% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -1.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.14:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, WAFD typically reaches +0.25% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.81%
Best Gap -0.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How WAFD compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WAFD: -1.17% Sector: -0.06% -1.10%
EOD Gain
WAFD: -0.25% Sector: -0.08% -0.17%
Avg MFE
WAFD: +0.25% Sector: +1.53% -1.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WAFD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:27:29 $32.17 -1.17% -1.38% -1.80% -0.96% -0.25% +0.25% -1.80% -0.81% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WAFD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.17% average gain, WAFD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WAFD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WAFD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WAFD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WAFD historically offers an average upside of +0.25% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WAFD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, WAFD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WAFD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WAFD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.17%). This suggests WAFD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.