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WBS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2024-07-19

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Webster Financial Corporation Waterbury NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 1986 🔗 www.websterbank.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.33B 👥 Employees: 4,407
Webster Financial Corp is a full-service provider of financial services, offering commercial and consumer banking, mortgages, and investment advisory along with trust and wealth management services in Connecticut, New York, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania. The company's segment includes Commercial Banking, HSA Bank, and Consumer Banking. It generates maximum revenue from the Commercial Banking segment.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.96%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.43%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: -0.68%
Worst: -2.51%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.60%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: -1.22%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: -0.90%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: -0.33%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -3.39%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.10%
Best MFE: +1.19%
Avg Time to MFE: 240 min

On average, WBS alerts reach +0.10% profit potential within 240 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.05%
Worst MAE: -2.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.05:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, WBS typically reaches +0.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.15%
Best Gap -0.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How WBS compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WBS: -1.43% Sector: -0.06% -1.37%
EOD Gain
WBS: -0.96% Sector: -0.08% -0.88%
Avg MFE
WBS: +0.10% Sector: +1.53% -1.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WBS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-19 09:26:03 $49.5 -2.51% -1.60% -1.19% -2.04% -3.39% -0.77% -2.55% -2.26% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:28:37 $40.91 -0.68% -1.22% -0.95% -0.44% -0.12% -0.12% -1.52% -0.17% LOSS
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $48.78 -1.11% -1.99% -0.90% -0.33% +0.64% +1.19% -2.09% -1.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WBS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.96% average gain, WBS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WBS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WBS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WBS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WBS historically offers an average upside of +0.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WBS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, WBS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WBS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WBS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.96%). This suggests WBS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.