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ZION Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 28 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2023-12-15

⚠️ Small sample size (28 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Zions Bancorporation N.A. NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6021)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.zionsbancorporation.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.72B 👥 Employees: 9,406
Zions Bancorp is a US regional bank with around $90 billion in total assets as of Sept. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, Zions' branch network is in the Western and Southwestern United States and includes seven affiliate banks in these markets. The bank has a heavy focus on small and midsize commercial banking.
📊
28
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.30%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+5.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +4.40%
Worst: -4.15%
Trades: 11/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.1%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -11.81%
Trades: 9/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -6.92%
Trades: 13/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +10.05%
Worst: -11.25%
Trades: 14/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +17.21%
Worst: -14.34%
Trades: 14/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.05%
Best MFE: +45.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, ZION alerts reach +5.05% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.43%
Worst MAE: -11.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 28 alerts, ZION typically reaches +5.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 28
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +3.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

How ZION compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ZION: -0.20% Sector: -0.06% -0.14%
EOD Gain
ZION: -0.40% Sector: -0.08% -0.32%
Avg MFE
ZION: +5.05% Sector: +1.53% +3.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ZION alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-15 09:25:00 $45.3 +0.64% -1.10% -0.95% -1.13% -3.22% +1.15% -0.71% +0.51% WIN
2023-10-19 09:26:00 $33.95 -0.59% -0.64% -0.87% +0.15% -5.04% +1.47% -2.24% +0.09% LOSS
2023-07-21 09:29:00 $38.0 -2.08% -2.11% -3.18% -3.37% -4.97% +0.39% -0.13% +0.18% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:28:00 $36.78 +0.24% +2.37% +1.79% +1.36% +3.05% +4.57% -0.03% +0.65% WIN
2023-06-13 09:26:00 $29.19 -1.03% -0.69% +0.03% +2.26% +1.99% +3.84% -3.60% -1.37% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:26:00 $29.0 +1.41% +0.66% +1.17% +2.64% +1.34% +5.76% -1.34% -0.45% WIN
2023-05-16 09:27:00 $24.72 -0.08% -0.52% -1.78% -1.58% -3.88% +0.40% -1.98% -1.29% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $23.45 -1.75% -0.09% +0.38% -1.66% -3.28% +1.42% -2.56% -1.49% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:28:00 $25.12 -1.14% -3.07% -3.82% -4.82% -5.45% +0.92% -1.00% -0.20% LOSS
2023-05-09 09:25:00 $23.88 -0.38% +0.67% -0.59% +1.47% +2.26% +4.19% -1.59% +0.08% LOSS
2023-05-08 09:28:00 $25.35 +2.64% -0.16% -3.57% -4.69% -4.30% +4.38% -0.67% -0.16% WIN
2023-05-05 09:29:00 $23.33 -1.80% -0.29% -3.43% -1.39% +1.84% +4.97% -4.82% -0.17% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:27:00 $21.15 +4.40% -1.04% +0.57% -11.25% -5.77% +5.44% -0.19% +3.03% WIN
2023-05-03 09:28:00 $24.33 +1.13% +1.03% +1.69% +1.44% -6.86% +3.51% -0.90% - WIN
2023-04-20 09:29:00 $31.3 -1.29% -0.96% -0.58% -0.77% -0.58% +1.66% -2.72% -0.54% LOSS
2023-04-19 09:26:00 $31.0 +0.61% -1.06% +0.58% +1.89% +5.55% +6.87% -1.26% +0.10% WIN
2023-04-05 09:28:00 $27.95 -2.88% -2.83% -1.43% -2.78% +2.43% +3.15% -3.65% -0.79% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:29:00 $27.17 +2.08% -0.96% -2.94% - +3.98% +6.18% -4.16% +0.57% WIN
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $31.19 +2.40% +3.01% +3.87% +1.09% -3.24% +4.58% -2.56% -1.09% WIN
2023-03-15 09:29:00 $30.25 -1.52% -0.93% -0.26% +3.87% +1.52% +5.79% -5.72% -1.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ZION Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.30% average gain, ZION alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ZION for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ZION with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ZION. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ZION historically offers an average upside of +5.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ZION Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ZION shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ZION may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ZION shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.30%). This suggests ZION is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.