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$CCC +13.39% — what the base rate says

$CCC +13.39% — what the base rate says

Before you spend Saturday plotting how to ride the $META +5.79% 'AI price war' to easy riches, let's look at what actually happens when tech giants slash tape. On Friday, Meta launched its Muse Spark 1.1 model API at a 75% discount to rivals, sending competitor CoreWeave down 11%.

Amateurs see a 'screaming buy' narrative and run to buy the gap. But let's look at the historical database. Out of 11 previous times $META has gapped up 5% or more, the stock closed the day red 55% of the time, with a negative median intraday return.

When a trillion-dollar giant starts a price war to buy market share, it is a margin-melting race to the bottom, not a victory lap. Study the unit economics while retail chases the headline.

What the data showed

  • $CCC +13.39% CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=640) mcap $3.2B · float 571M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $CNMD +9.66% CONMED Corporation mcap $1.0B · float 30M shares · sector: ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS
  • $KB +6.78% KB Financial Group Inc. mcap $40.9B · float 381M shares · sector: Commercial Banks, NEC
  • $META +5.79% Meta Platforms, Inc. mcap $1531.0B · float 2.2B shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $JXN +5.39% Jackson Financial Inc. mcap $7.6B · float 93M shares · sector: LIFE INSURANCE
  • $FNUC +4.71% Frontier Nuclear and Minerals Inc. float 18M shares
  • $MGM +4.22% MGM Resorts International mcap $11.9B · float 186M shares · sector: HOTELS & MOTELS
  • $WEAT +2.91% Teucrium Wheat Fund ETF sector: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
  • $BMNR +2.45% Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. mcap $8.5B · float 565M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $STX +2.30% Seagate Technology Holdings plc mcap $194.6B · float 217M shares · sector: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
  • $VRXA -12.50% Veraxa Biotech AG · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903)
  • $PLTR -1.93% Palantir Technologies Inc. mcap $317.0B · float 2.2B shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $PINS -0.88% Pinterest, Inc. mcap $12.6B · float 552M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $MU -0.87% Micron Technology, Inc. mcap $1071.6B · float 1.1B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $SOBO -0.69% South Bow Corporation
  • $PPLI -0.53% People Incorporated
  • $AAPL -0.40% Apple Inc. mcap $4602.9B · float 14.7B shares · sector: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
  • $SH -0.33% ProShares Short S&P500 ETF
  • $PEP -0.33% PepsiCo, Inc. mcap $194.8B · float 1.4B shares · sector: BEVERAGES
  • $GDX -0.33% VanEck Gold Miners ETF

Before you trade any gap on Monday morning, run the historical base rates yourself on FILTRIX.net. Trade the math, not the narrative. Discipline > FOMO.

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