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WEAT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 118 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2024-08-12

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2011
📊
118
Total Alerts
🎯
48.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.12%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.93%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.7%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 41/67

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.69%
Worst: -3.86%
Trades: 54/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +6.24%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 54/61

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +4.65%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 57/58

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.16%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +12.22%
Worst: -9.22%
Trades: 57/58

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.93%
Best MFE: +18.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, WEAT alerts reach +1.93% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.69%
Worst MAE: -5.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.81:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.81x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 118 alerts, WEAT typically reaches +1.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 118
Gap Up % 39.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How WEAT compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WEAT: -0.18% Sector: -0.01% -0.17%
EOD Gain
WEAT: +0.05% Sector: +257.70% -257.66%
Avg MFE
WEAT: +1.85% Sector: +1.89% -0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WEAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-12 09:26:35 $5.01 -0.50% -0.60% -1.00% -0.85% -0.20% +0.57% -1.20% -0.20% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:27:11 $5.04 +0.59% +0.39% -0.30% -0.30% -0.79% +0.60% -0.20% +0.20% WIN
2024-02-14 09:28:31 $5.47 -0.27% -0.18% -0.19% +0.18% -0.55% +0.37% -0.37% +0.09% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $5.82 +0.34% +0.09% - +0.77% +1.89% +2.75% -0.00% +0.17% WIN
2023-11-22 09:26:00 $5.64 +0.18% +0.46% +0.19% +0.35% +0.27% +0.71% - +0.18% WIN
2023-11-21 09:27:00 $5.54 -0.03% -0.18% -0.14% -0.55% +1.26% +1.62% -0.72% -0.18% LOSS
2023-10-06 09:28:00 $5.82 -0.34% -0.69% -0.19% - -0.52% +0.34% -0.79% -0.52% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:27:00 $5.98 -1.50% -1.17% -0.84% -0.75% -0.67% +0.17% -1.42% +0.17% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:26:00 $6.19 +0.40% +0.32% +0.85% +1.29% +1.62% +1.78% - - WIN
2023-08-17 09:28:00 $6.08 -0.25% +0.31% -0.02% +0.25% - +0.66% -0.33% +0.33% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:28:00 $6.63 -0.45% -0.69% -1.21% -1.21% -1.81% +0.15% -0.45% +0.15% LOSS
2023-08-02 09:25:00 $6.7 -0.45% -1.49% -1.94% -3.21% -2.84% - -0.15% - LOSS
2023-08-01 09:28:00 $6.67 -0.75% +0.13% -0.31% -0.89% -0.60% +0.28% -1.05% -0.15% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:27:00 $6.86 -0.15% -0.63% -0.22% -0.73% -2.19% +0.08% -0.58% - LOSS
2023-07-28 09:25:00 $6.91 +0.06% -0.36% +0.14% - +1.16% +2.89% -0.85% - WIN
2023-07-26 09:27:00 $7.24 +0.30% +0.04% +0.54% -0.28% -1.93% +0.55% -0.28% -0.28% WIN
2023-07-25 09:25:00 $7.27 -0.14% -0.35% +0.14% +0.69% +1.79% +1.79% -0.82% +0.28% LOSS
2023-07-24 09:28:00 $7.19 +0.56% +0.49% +0.70% +1.32% +2.64% +3.06% - - WIN
2023-07-21 09:28:00 $6.9 +0.72% +1.46% +1.23% +1.00% -0.29% +1.88% - +0.14% WIN
2023-07-20 09:27:00 $7.21 -0.21% -1.25% -1.66% -1.80% -1.53% +0.69% - +0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WEAT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.7% win rate and -0.12% average gain, WEAT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WEAT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WEAT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WEAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WEAT historically offers an average upside of +1.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WEAT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.7%, WEAT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WEAT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WEAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.12%). This suggests WEAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.