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GDX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 732 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, GDX alerts reach +1.24% profit potential within 125 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.35x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 732 alerts, GDX typically reaches +1.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical GDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:44 | $42.63 | -0.70% | -0.89% | -1.03% | -2.08% | -3.64% | +0.07% | -0.19% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:25 | $42.31 | -0.83% | -1.02% | -0.86% | -0.41% | +0.47% | +0.66% | -1.39% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:29:37 | $41.4 | +0.33% | +0.19% | +0.34% | +0.56% | +1.76% | +2.61% | -0.72% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:33 | $41.57 | -0.06% | +0.32% | +0.02% | +0.23% | -0.31% | +0.79% | -0.43% | +0.36% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:25:39 | $41.91 | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.10% | +0.55% | +0.12% | +0.72% | -0.26% | +0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:49 | $41.34 | - | -0.34% | -0.22% | +0.21% | -1.16% | +0.99% | -0.60% | +0.41% | - |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:50 | $41.08 | -0.37% | -0.37% | -0.73% | -0.57% | +0.12% | +0.19% | -1.00% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:01 | $40.28 | +1.39% | +1.61% | +1.95% | +2.56% | +1.89% | +3.10% | +0.17% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:29:20 | $39.91 | -0.04% | +0.20% | -0.03% | +0.45% | +0.30% | +0.67% | -0.60% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:30 | $39.14 | +0.17% | +0.77% | +1.64% | +0.84% | +1.07% | +1.99% | -0.41% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:22 | $39.54 | -0.08% | -0.28% | +0.09% | -0.13% | -1.47% | +0.35% | -0.58% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:44 | $38.63 | +0.02% | +1.01% | +1.01% | +2.10% | +2.04% | +2.85% | -0.16% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:28 | $37.5 | -0.96% | -0.52% | -0.40% | -0.68% | -0.40% | +0.24% | -0.85% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:50 | $37.98 | -0.03% | +0.08% | -0.18% | +0.39% | -0.08% | +0.47% | -0.08% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:26:53 | $37.17 | +0.22% | -0.32% | -0.28% | -0.40% | +0.89% | +0.94% | -0.89% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:48 | $37.93 | -0.47% | -1.05% | -1.19% | -1.09% | -1.05% | +0.32% | -0.21% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:27:05 | $37.18 | +0.46% | +0.75% | +1.26% | +2.04% | +1.16% | +2.07% | -0.19% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:26:53 | $36.29 | -0.25% | +0.55% | +1.02% | +1.38% | +1.27% | +2.00% | -0.47% | +0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:26:24 | $36.9 | +0.37% | +0.49% | +0.43% | +0.39% | -0.76% | +0.75% | +0.00% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:26:45 | $36.81 | -0.62% | -0.81% | -1.01% | -1.15% | -0.24% | +0.30% | -0.49% | -0.05% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ GDX Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.2% win rate and -0.01% average gain, GDX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GDX for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze GDX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, GDX historically offers an average upside of +1.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 GDX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, GDX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GDX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: GDX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests GDX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.