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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$GDX

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.3% at EOD n=902 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

VanEck Gold Miners ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 16, 2006
Total alerts
902
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
48.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.30%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading GDX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable GDX setups

Historical GDX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 391/497

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +3.15%
Worst: -3.94%
Trades: 407/484

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -4.36%
Trades: 424/468

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.62%
Worst: -5.28%
Trades: 417/479

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +6.34%
Worst: -6.59%
Trades: 435/458

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, GDX alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -3.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 902 alerts, GDX typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 902
Gap Up % 39.7%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +0.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $88.39 -0.21% -0.18% -0.44% -0.46% -0.70% +0.33% -0.75% -0.27% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $87.94 -0.60% -1.02% -0.97% -0.91% -1.36% +0.10% -1.66% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $90.07 -0.62% -1.08% -1.29% -1.11% -2.52% +0.03% -0.02% -0.39% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $88.84 +0.08% -0.47% -0.19% +0.25% +0.26% +0.47% -0.70% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $88.11 -0.32% +0.36% +1.15% +0.95% -0.25% +1.50% -0.85% +0.06% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $92.42 -0.15% -0.04% -0.25% -0.30% +0.49% +0.97% -1.17% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $92.53 -0.23% -0.71% -0.69% -1.03% -0.19% +0.12% -1.82% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $95.25 -0.32% -1.12% -2.10% -1.98% -1.77% +0.12% -0.31% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $94.54 +0.31% +0.77% +1.27% +0.98% +3.48% +4.05% -0.04% -0.03% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $95.9 -0.28% -0.98% -1.29% -1.66% -1.53% +0.08% -0.17% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $96.3 -0.70% -1.29% -1.30% -1.74% -0.85% +0.04% -0.01% -0.16% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $95.91 -0.21% -1.14% -0.29% +0.65% +0.01% +0.80% -1.52% -0.06% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $96.05 -0.41% -0.85% -1.44% -2.20% -3.38% +0.07% +0.00% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $94.65 -0.08% -0.62% -0.58% -1.51% -0.55% +0.11% -0.24% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $93.53 +0.21% -0.34% -0.32% -0.56% +0.65% +1.66% -0.73% +0.43% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $98.29 -0.16% +0.53% +0.20% -0.47% -1.21% +0.80% -0.89% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $96.44 -0.34% +0.39% +0.57% +0.53% -0.43% +1.04% -0.85% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $100.61 +0.03% +0.01% -0.77% -0.88% -1.13% +0.86% -0.36% -0.15% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $98.97 +0.19% +0.11% +1.33% +0.93% -0.57% +1.34% -0.17% -0.08% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $98.75 +0.93% -0.35% +0.11% +0.68% +0.52% +1.37% -0.75% +0.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ GDX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.3% win rate and -0.01% average gain, GDX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GDX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GDX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GDX historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.3%, GDX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GDX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GDX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.01%). This suggests GDX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.