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ACRE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-18 → 2024-02-22

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 26, 2012 🔗 www.arescre.com
💰 Market Cap: $266.9M 👥 Employees: 2,100
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp is a specialty finance company and a Real Estate Investment Trust providing commercial real estate loans and related investments. It operates in one segment namely originating and managing a diversified portfolio of CRE debt-related investments. The group recognizes its revenues through the interest income it receives from loans.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.17%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.13%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +5.34%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.17%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: +0.07%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.73%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.87%
Worst: +0.58%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.05%
Best MFE: +7.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 29 min

On average, ACRE alerts reach +4.05% profit potential within 29 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.82%
Worst MAE: -4.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, ACRE typically reaches +4.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.87%
Best Gap +0.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How ACRE compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ACRE: +2.13% Sector: -0.14% +2.27%
EOD Gain
ACRE: +0.14% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.57%
Avg MFE
ACRE: +4.05% Sector: +2.11% +1.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACRE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-22 09:26:38 $7.49 +4.54% +5.34% +4.27% +0.87% +2.14% +7.21% -4.27% -1.87% WIN
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $14.57 -0.27% -0.69% +0.07% +0.58% -1.85% +0.89% -1.37% +0.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ACRE

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ACRE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ACRE Strategy →

Why Analyze ACRE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACRE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACRE historically offers an average upside of +4.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACRE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ACRE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ACRE performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.