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Latest signal:

ADC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-26 → 2024-11-12

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Agree Realty Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 15, 1994 🔗 www.agreerealty.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.34B 👥 Employees: 75
Agree Realty Corporation operates as a fully integrated real estate investment trust mainly focused on the ownership, acquisition, development and management of retail properties net leased to industry-tenants. The Company is mainly in the business of acquiring, developing and managing retail real estate. Some of its properties in the portfolio include Walmart, 7-Eleven, Wawa, Gerber Collision and others.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -0.35%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +0.83%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -1.48%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -0.56%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +3.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, ADC alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.32%
Worst MAE: -0.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, ADC typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +0.67%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How ADC compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADC: +0.31% Sector: -0.14% +0.45%
EOD Gain
ADC: +0.30% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.41%
Avg MFE
ADC: +1.15% Sector: +2.11% -0.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-12 09:27:31 $75.63 +1.06% +0.81% +1.04% +1.19% +0.78% +1.56% +0.40% +0.67% WIN
2024-10-25 09:27:56 $75.0 +1.00% +0.50% +0.31% +0.15% +0.04% +1.20% - +0.13% WIN
2024-10-03 09:25:33 $75.28 -0.35% -0.62% -0.90% -0.34% -0.12% -0.05% -0.90% -0.35% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:25:17 $71.07 -0.10% +0.83% +1.30% +2.13% +1.65% +3.00% -0.55% -0.13% LOSS
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $66.11 +0.03% -0.42% -1.21% -1.48% -0.56% +0.05% -0.47% -0.05% WIN
2022-05-26 09:25:00 $68.35 +0.20% +0.22% +0.29% +0.45% +0.01% +1.13% -0.38% +0.06% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on ADC

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADC Strategy →

Why Analyze ADC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADC historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ADC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.