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AHR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-01 → 2024-12-12

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 07, 2024 🔗 www.americanhealthcarereit.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.24B 👥 Employees: 114
American Healthcare REIT Inc is a healthcare-focused real estate investment trust. It owns a diversified portfolio of clinical healthcare real estate properties, focusing on medical office buildings, skilled nursing facilities, senior housing, hospitals, and other healthcare-related facilities. It has four reportable business segments: integrated senior health campuses, outpatient medical, triple-net leased properties and SHOP. It generates majority of its revenue through Integrated Senior Health Campuses segment.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
77.8%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.58%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 77.8%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.51%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 7/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +2.92%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +2.28%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 6/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +2.35%
Worst: -2.72%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.08%
Best MFE: +3.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, AHR alerts reach +2.08% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.45%
Worst MAE: -1.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.63:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.63x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, AHR typically reaches +2.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +1.02%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How AHR compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AHR: +0.58% Sector: -0.14% +0.72%
EOD Gain
AHR: +0.05% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.66%
Avg MFE
AHR: +2.08% Sector: +2.11% -0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-12 09:27:31 $28.03 +0.32% +0.64% +0.95% +1.96% +1.11% +2.28% -0.18% -0.07% WIN
2024-11-25 09:27:12 $29.0 -0.21% -0.43% -1.07% +0.03% -0.14% +0.52% -1.38% -0.86% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:16 $27.7 +1.10% +1.73% +1.39% +1.46% +2.35% +3.34% -0.79% -0.32% WIN
2024-11-20 09:26:21 $28.23 -0.74% -0.83% -0.57% -0.05% -2.02% +0.14% -1.10% -1.06% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:25:00 $26.09 +0.04% -1.00% -1.23% -1.76% -2.72% +0.04% -0.27% -0.27% WIN
2024-09-19 09:29:22 $24.98 +1.48% -1.46% +0.50% +2.28% +1.72% +3.76% -1.52% +0.04% WIN
2024-09-05 09:29:10 $21.9 +2.51% +2.92% +1.67% +1.85% +0.87% +3.52% -0.05% - WIN
2024-05-01 09:26:37 $13.73 +0.44% +1.00% -0.18% +0.73% +1.09% +2.84% -0.18% +0.44% WIN
2024-04-01 09:28:13 $14.75 +0.27% -0.27% -0.47% -1.36% -1.76% +2.31% +1.42% +1.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.8% Baseline on AHR

The 77.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AHR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AHR Strategy →

Why Analyze AHR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AHR historically offers an average upside of +2.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.8%, AHR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AHR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.