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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SPXS

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.4% at 60-min n=911 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 2008
Total alerts
911
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
47.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.86%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPXS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 388/490

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +2.40%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 423/465

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +3.85%
Worst: -3.78%
Trades: 426/476

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -4.76%
Trades: 431/472

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +10.23%
Worst: -13.39%
Trades: 412/479

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.86%
Best MFE: +10.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, SPXS alerts reach +1.86% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -4.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 911 alerts, SPXS typically reaches +1.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 911
Gap Up % 37.7%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPXS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $24.02 +0.17% +0.08% +0.46% -0.58% +0.42% +1.46% -0.75% +0.04% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $24.6 +0.18% +0.08% +0.45% +1.50% +0.08% +2.22% -0.37% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $24.35 +0.12% +0.18% -0.21% -0.53% +1.72% +1.85% -0.99% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $24.35 +0.25% +0.53% +0.57% +0.57% +0.99% +1.77% -0.08% -0.08% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $24.22 +0.15% +0.27% +0.08% +0.21% +0.99% +1.69% -0.16% -0.08% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $24.13 +0.37% -0.17% -0.48% +0.50% -0.91% +1.06% -0.50% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $24.54 +0.16% -0.16% -0.20% -0.57% -1.14% +0.45% -0.79% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $23.77 +0.00% +0.15% +0.75% +1.49% +1.81% +2.36% -0.17% -0.13% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $23.62 -0.04% -0.20% +0.06% +0.15% +0.21% +0.59% -0.42% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $24.7 -0.04% -0.08% -0.38% -1.09% -2.79% +0.16% -0.12% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $25.24 -0.10% -0.16% +0.34% +0.69% -0.24% +1.13% -0.36% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $25.16 +0.12% +0.91% +0.87% +0.53% +0.20% +1.31% -0.08% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $25.53 +0.06% +0.26% -0.23% +0.28% +2.23% +4.02% -0.78% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $25.46 +0.16% +0.20% +0.27% +1.10% +1.18% +1.65% -0.23% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $25.56 +0.15% +0.06% -0.32% +0.19% -0.67% +0.46% -0.75% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $24.98 +0.12% -0.12% -0.20% -0.32% +0.28% +0.52% -0.60% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $25.68 -0.06% -0.29% +0.29% -0.70% -0.04% +0.43% -0.47% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $25.03 +0.08% +0.20% +0.10% +0.44% +0.68% +1.28% -0.12% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $24.52 +0.04% +0.62% +0.57% +0.96% +1.31% +1.61% -0.10% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $24.27 -0.08% -0.12% -0.19% +0.34% +0.70% +1.13% -0.33% -0.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SPXS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.4% win rate and -0.02% average gain, SPXS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SPXS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SPXS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPXS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPXS historically offers an average upside of +1.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPXS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, SPXS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SPXS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPXS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests SPXS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.