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$SPXS

Trade-Ideas alert history 759 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
πŸ“ NYSE Arca πŸ“… IPO: Nov 05, 2008
Total alerts
759
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 60MIN
47.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 60MIN
-0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPXS on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable SPXS setups

Historical SPXS setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 312/417

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.40%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 345/392

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +3.85%
Worst: -3.78%
Trades: 356/394

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +6.32%
Worst: -4.76%
Trades: 362/389

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +10.23%
Worst: -13.39%
Trades: 335/404

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.95%
Best MFE: +10.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 167 min

On average, SPXS alerts reach +1.95% profit potential within 167 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.71%
Worst MAE: -4.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 34 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.71%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.75:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, SPXS typically reaches +1.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 36.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.70%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPXS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:26 $5.63 -0.14% -0.00% -0.18% -0.27% - +0.53% -0.53% - LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:01 $5.78 - - -0.17% -0.76% -2.77% +0.69% -0.35% - -
2025-02-12 09:29:24 $5.92 -0.00% -0.63% -0.99% -0.93% -2.03% +0.51% - - LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:16 $5.84 -0.43% -0.68% -0.68% -0.77% -1.54% - -0.00% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:54 $5.79 +0.08% +0.35% +0.34% -0.35% -0.52% +0.69% -0.17% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:03 $5.7 -0.09% -0.00% -0.53% +0.96% +3.16% +3.51% -0.53% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:54 $5.72 +0.19% +0.19% +0.44% +0.61% -0.17% +1.75% - +0.17% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:45 $5.88 -0.00% -0.19% +0.32% +0.09% -1.87% +0.94% -0.34% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:40 $5.97 -0.25% -0.50% -0.80% -1.68% -2.35% +0.17% -0.34% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:01 $6.13 -0.93% -0.98% -0.24% -1.63% -2.77% +0.65% -1.31% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:25:56 $5.68 -0.18% -0.35% -0.38% -0.88% +2.64% +3.17% -1.41% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:42 $5.77 +0.17% -0.26% -0.52% +0.69% -0.52% +1.56% -1.04% -0.17% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:24 $5.77 +0.17% +0.53% +0.26% +0.52% +0.87% +2.25% -0.17% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:36 $5.86 +0.68% +1.19% +0.92% -0.94% -2.05% +1.71% -0.17% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:04 $6.03 -1.25% -1.49% -1.74% -1.61% -2.49% - -0.17% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:40 $5.61 -0.02% -0.26% -0.18% +0.17% +0.71% +1.43% -0.59% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:48 $5.71 -0.09% -0.35% -0.18% -0.06% -1.93% +0.18% -0.17% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:29 $5.71 -0.02% +0.13% -0.35% -0.52% -0.35% +0.18% -0.35% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:44 $5.86 -0.17% - -0.17% +0.09% -1.37% +1.02% -0.51% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:09 $5.96 +0.42% +0.50% +0.42% +0.02% -0.34% +0.84% -0.17% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SPXS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.8% win rate and -0.02% average gain, SPXS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SPXS for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze SPXS with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPXS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPXS historically offers an average upside of +1.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š SPXS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.8%, SPXS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SPXS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPXS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests SPXS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.