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AIV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2023-11-01

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Apartment Investment and Management Company REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 2020 🔗 www.aimco.com
💰 Market Cap: $848.6M 👥 Employees: 58
Apartment Investment & Management Co is a self-managed real estate investment trust. It is focused on property development, redevelopment and various other value-creating investment strategies, targeting the U.S multifamily market. Its operating segments are Development and Redevelopment; Operating, and Other. Development and Redevelopment segment consists of properties that are under construction or have not achieved stabilization, as well as land held for development. Operating segment includes 20 residential apartment communities with 5,243 apartment homes that have achieved a stabilized level of operations. Other segment includes The Benson Hotel, company's only hotel. Majority of revenue is gained from Operating Segment.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +0.70%
Worst: -1.26%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +1.18%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 3/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +1.16%
Worst: -1.83%
Trades: 5/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.41%
Best MFE: +4.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, AIV alerts reach +1.41% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -2.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.85:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, AIV typically reaches +1.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +0.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How AIV compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AIV: -0.15% Sector: -0.14% -0.01%
EOD Gain
AIV: -0.56% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.28%
Avg MFE
AIV: +1.41% Sector: +2.11% -0.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AIV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-01 09:28:00 $5.86 -0.77% -0.94% -0.17% +0.43% -1.37% +0.85% -1.62% +0.17% LOSS
2022-01-25 09:25:00 $6.58 -0.46% - -0.30% - +3.19% +4.56% -0.61% -0.46% LOSS
2022-01-20 09:25:00 $7.16 -1.26% -0.91% -0.98% -0.84% -3.91% -0.07% -1.40% -0.98% LOSS
2022-01-14 09:25:00 $7.18 -0.84% -0.42% -0.14% +0.49% +1.25% +1.67% -1.11% -0.56% LOSS
2022-01-13 09:25:00 $7.18 +0.49% +0.63% +1.18% +0.70% +0.42% +3.06% - +0.56% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $7.17 +0.70% -0.28% -0.84% -0.28% +0.14% +0.70% +0.42% +0.42% WIN
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $7.36 -0.27% -0.95% -0.86% -1.83% -1.22% +0.14% -2.99% -0.27% LOSS
2022-01-05 09:25:00 $7.71 - -0.13% -1.23% -1.04% -3.11% - - - -
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $7.79 +0.64% +1.22% +1.03% +0.26% -1.03% +1.54% - - WIN
2022-01-03 09:25:00 $7.76 +0.26% +0.64% +0.64% +1.16% - +1.61% -0.28% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AIV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, AIV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AIV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AIV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AIV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AIV historically offers an average upside of +1.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AIV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AIV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AIV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AIV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.10%). This suggests AIV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.