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TNXP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 287 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-10

🏢 Company Profile

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 13, 2009 🔗 www.tonixpharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $234.3M 👥 Employees: 81
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing, licensing and commercializing therapeutics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix's development portfolio is focused on central nervous system (CNS) disorders. The company's immunology development portfolio consists of biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-1500, which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand (CD40L or CD154) being developed for the prevention of allograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. Tonix also has product candidates in development in the areas of rare disease and infectious disease.
📊
287
Total Alerts
🎯
78.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+12871404.65%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +7.52%
Worst: -13.11%
Trades: 100/170

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -2.84%
Best: +12.82%
Worst: -31.09%
Trades: 102/178

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.9%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +4.20%
Avg Loser: -3.27%
Best: +24.67%
Worst: -27.91%
Trades: 94/189

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +4.44%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +19.99%
Worst: -49.61%
Trades: 100/179

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.4%
Avg Gain: +12871404.65%
Avg Winner: +16418193.42%
Avg Loser: -6.33%
Best: +70239900.00%
Worst: -30.35%
Trades: 225/61

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.46%
Best MFE: +100.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, TNXP alerts reach +6.46% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.52%
Worst MAE: -18.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 287 alerts, TNXP typically reaches +6.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 287
Gap Up % 41.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +5.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How TNXP compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TNXP: -0.48% Sector: -0.32% -0.16%
EOD Gain
TNXP: +12959450.10% Sector: +4480411.22% +8479038.88%
Avg MFE
TNXP: +6.47% Sector: +7.56% -1.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TNXP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:25:15 $12.69 -0.63% -5.03% -5.55% -6.38% -5.91% +1.99% -0.95% -1.10% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:28 $13.68 +0.37% +9.72% +24.67% -3.61% -9.43% +34.50% -3.87% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:33 $15.05 -6.51% -7.89% -8.70% -14.68% -25.32% +0.47% -2.99% -2.99% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:15 $0.41 +4.96% +7.42% +2.95% +1.83% +10351.66% +9.62% -0.88% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:37 $0.44 -6.03% -7.82% -9.15% -10.96% +8372.66% +0.54% -0.02% -0.59% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:22 $0.51 +1.05% -1.90% +1.32% -1.30% +8252.76% +5.86% -8.49% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:34 $0.45 +2.62% -0.85% -0.54% +0.27% +10183.86% +30.31% -3.89% -0.94% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:42 $0.4 +4.40% +9.76% +4.45% +3.60% +10269.90% +11.98% -1.59% -1.59% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:33 $0.35 +4.08% +3.56% +4.98% +7.65% +10997.91% +21.67% -1.22% +1.19% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:03 $0.31 -1.62% +8.02% +10.83% +14.87% +5.88% +20.72% -3.01% -1.23% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:29 $0.31 -3.14% -7.05% -6.18% -9.69% +8184.79% -0.32% -2.10% -1.26% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:58 $0.3 -0.93% -1.29% -0.80% -2.29% -4.54% +1.59% +0.93% +0.99% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:36 $0.33 +4.65% -1.32% -4.46% -4.06% +9515.38% +5.82% -0.58% +0.58% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:05 $0.31 -2.62% -1.51% -4.31% -2.07% +0.36% +19.26% -5.76% - LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:11 $0.33 -0.60% -1.30% -3.32% -4.38% +9386.40% +2.72% -0.15% +2.72% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:29:45 $0.37 -2.31% -3.47% -6.86% -9.49% +8767.98% +1.64% -1.32% -0.51% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:27:54 $0.35 -2.57% -3.41% -5.10% -7.50% +10307.51% +22.83% -10.40% -1.24% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:26:13 $0.35 -0.83% -0.37% -2.74% -8.45% -3.65% +1.23% -2.83% -0.11% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:28:16 $0.38 -1.95% -3.62% -5.60% -2.34% -3.62% +2.08% -1.02% +0.23% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:27:18 $0.4 -0.49% +4.18% -5.89% -6.28% +9432.41% +7.37% -2.18% +1.41% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.4% Baseline on TNXP

The 78.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TNXP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TNXP Strategy →

Why Analyze TNXP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TNXP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TNXP historically offers an average upside of +6.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TNXP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.4%, TNXP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TNXP performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +12871404.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.