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ALB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2024-11-13

⚠️ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 22, 1994 🔗 www.albemarle.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.30B 👥 Employees: 8,300
Albemarle is one of the world's largest lithium producers. In the lithium industry, the majority of demand comes from batteries, where lithium is used as the energy storage material, particularly in electric vehicles. Albemarle is a fully integrated lithium producer. Its upstream resources include salt brine deposits in Chile and the US and two hard rock mines in Australia, both of which are joint ventures. The company operates lithium refining plants in Chile, the US, Australia, and China. Albemarle is a global leader in the production of bromine, used in flame retardants.
📊
37
Total Alerts
🎯
62.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.45%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +6.12%
Worst: -4.78%
Trades: 23/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.8%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +8.81%
Worst: -6.82%
Trades: 21/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +10.35%
Worst: -6.41%
Trades: 19/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.27%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +9.63%
Worst: -6.89%
Trades: 18/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -3.06%
Best: +8.23%
Worst: -10.40%
Trades: 17/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.67%
Best MFE: +11.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 91 min

On average, ALB alerts reach +2.67% profit potential within 91 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.82%
Worst MAE: -4.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, ALB typically reaches +2.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 56.8%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS

How ALB compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALB: +0.45% Sector: +0.11% +0.35%
EOD Gain
ALB: -0.34% Sector: -0.17% -0.17%
Avg MFE
ALB: +2.67% Sector: +2.36% +0.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-13 09:28:10 $107.36 +2.51% +3.06% +2.18% +3.07% +0.77% +3.75% -0.53% +0.84% WIN
2024-09-26 09:26:03 $90.65 -0.02% +1.21% +2.70% +2.49% +4.99% +5.38% -0.15% +1.49% LOSS
2024-09-11 09:25:54 $90.23 +1.17% -1.03% -3.44% -4.40% -1.03% +1.75% -0.75% -0.02% WIN
2024-09-10 09:29:44 $78.71 -2.05% -1.75% -1.69% -2.08% -0.11% -0.03% -4.16% -0.89% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:29:26 $128.99 +0.68% -0.10% -0.61% -2.49% +1.02% +1.43% -1.16% +0.23% WIN
2024-04-10 09:29:07 $129.6 +0.59% +0.42% -0.14% -1.30% -1.50% +1.65% -0.66% -0.19% WIN
2024-04-04 09:27:58 $130.33 -0.15% -0.47% -0.15% -0.98% -7.07% +0.52% -1.16% +0.06% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:26:43 $126.47 -0.12% +0.37% -0.52% +0.51% +0.01% +1.04% +0.17% +0.46% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:29:25 $128.27 +2.05% +0.99% +0.51% -0.24% +2.71% +3.24% -0.78% +0.55% WIN
2024-03-25 09:27:40 $120.0 +0.97% +1.24% +1.09% +0.08% -1.38% +1.86% +0.10% +0.48% WIN
2024-03-21 09:25:22 $125.84 +0.04% +0.30% -0.64% -0.92% -0.78% +1.37% -0.37% +0.01% WIN
2024-03-12 09:26:27 $125.56 +2.34% -0.49% -0.88% -2.25% -1.30% +2.34% -0.05% +1.20% WIN
2024-03-11 09:29:35 $119.1 +3.40% +3.25% +3.14% +4.12% +4.74% +5.66% +0.23% +0.23% WIN
2024-03-06 09:27:19 $110.5 +1.02% +0.39% +1.82% +2.43% +8.23% +8.44% -0.28% -0.20% WIN
2024-03-05 09:29:06 $122.1 -2.34% -4.41% -4.05% -6.41% -10.40% +0.28% -0.74% -0.03% LOSS
2024-02-29 09:29:39 $137.27 -0.33% +1.10% +0.62% +1.91% +0.42% +2.46% -1.10% -0.53% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:25:46 $131.14 +0.04% +1.03% +1.16% +1.45% +0.70% +1.99% -0.88% -0.37% WIN
2024-02-15 09:28:45 $111.42 +6.12% +8.81% +10.35% +9.63% +5.46% +11.45% +0.06% +0.52% WIN
2023-12-21 09:28:00 $146.45 +0.25% -1.08% -0.80% -0.49% -0.68% +0.60% -1.64% -0.23% WIN
2023-12-20 09:29:00 $148.6 +0.61% +0.02% +0.37% +0.02% -4.08% +0.99% -0.25% +0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.2% Baseline on ALB

The 62.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALB Strategy →

Why Analyze ALB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALB historically offers an average upside of +2.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.2%, ALB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.45%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.