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ALHC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-16 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS (SIC 6324)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 2021 🔗 www.alignmenthealth.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.76B 👥 Employees: 1,679
Alignment Healthcare Inc is a next-generation, consumer-centric platform that is revolutionizing the healthcare experience for seniors through Medicare Advantage plans. These plans are marketed and sold direct-to-consumer, allowing seniors to select the manner in which customers receive healthcare coverage and services on an annual basis. The company combines a technology platform and clinical model for more effective health outcomes.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
85.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.20%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +1.20%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 6/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +3.67%
Worst: -4.82%
Trades: 3/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.90%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +3.96%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -4.20%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +1.87%
Avg Winner: +3.29%
Avg Loser: -6.67%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -6.67%
Trades: 6/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.81%
Best MFE: +6.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 165 min

On average, ALHC alerts reach +3.81% profit potential within 165 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.27%
Worst MAE: -3.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, ALHC typically reaches +3.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How ALHC compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALHC: +1.20% Sector: -0.05% +1.25%
EOD Gain
ALHC: +1.87% Sector: +0.06% +1.80%
Avg MFE
ALHC: +3.81% Sector: +2.93% +0.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALHC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:28:05 $14.97 -0.87% -0.47% +0.76% +1.00% +3.47% +3.54% -2.34% -1.74% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:19 $13.57 +0.52% -0.26% -0.81% -0.48% +2.43% +2.51% -1.69% +1.33% WIN
2025-01-02 09:29:36 $11.25 +2.13% +2.36% +3.96% +4.36% +2.76% +5.60% +0.44% +0.62% WIN
2024-11-15 09:27:34 $11.26 +2.84% -1.38% +1.07% +0.44% +2.00% +3.46% -3.64% -1.42% WIN
2024-10-31 09:27:52 $11.7 +1.14% +2.39% +0.81% -0.26% +5.98% +6.32% -1.79% - WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $11.99 +1.42% +3.67% +2.17% +2.09% +3.09% +4.00% +1.25% +1.25% WIN
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $13.8 +1.23% -4.82% -1.67% -4.20% -6.67% +1.23% -1.09% -0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 85.7% Baseline on ALHC

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALHC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALHC Strategy →

Why Analyze ALHC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALHC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALHC historically offers an average upside of +3.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALHC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, ALHC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALHC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.