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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$ALSN

Trade-Ideas alerts 33.3% at 15-min n=3 2023-02-21 → 2026-02-25

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC. MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES (SIC 3714)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 15, 2012 🔗 www.allisontransmission.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.74B 👥 Employees: 4,000
Allison Transmission is the largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles. Its automatic transmissions allow customers to achieve better fuel and operator efficiency than less expensive manual and automated manual transmissions. Allison serves several end markets, including on- and off-highway equipment and military vehicles. Its on-highway business commands about 60% of the global market share. The company's transmissions are used in Class 4-8 trucks, buses, and a limited number of large passenger vehicles (heavy-duty pickup trucks and motorhomes). Allison also produces commercial hybrid propulsion systems and is developing fully electric powertrains.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
33.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.21%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.71%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ALSN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: -0.16%
Worst: -0.68%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +0.98%
Worst: -1.43%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +0.93%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: -0.16%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +0.18%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +0.18%
Worst: -2.55%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.71%
Best MFE: +1.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 10 min

On average, ALSN alerts reach +0.71% profit potential within 10 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -0.89%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.01:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, ALSN typically reaches +0.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +0.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

How ALSN compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALSN: -0.47% Sector: -0.28% -0.18%
EOD Gain
ALSN: -1.54% Sector: +284.27% -285.80%
Avg MFE
ALSN: +0.71% Sector: +7.60% -6.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALSN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-02-25 09:25:00 $122.5 -0.16% +0.98% +0.93% -0.16% +0.18% +1.78% -0.47% -0.19% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:28:00 $48.59 -0.68% -0.19% -0.58% -0.56% -2.55% +0.66% -0.89% +0.66% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $49.7 -0.56% -1.43% -2.41% -3.90% -2.23% -0.32% -0.74% -0.74% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ALSN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.21% average gain, ALSN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ALSN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ALSN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALSN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALSN historically offers an average upside of +0.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALSN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, ALSN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ALSN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ALSN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.21%). This suggests ALSN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.